Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Robert Menendez Jr.

Robert Menendez Jr.

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Robert Menendez Jr. is trading at 96% to win the NJ-08 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age41 years old (Jul 12, 1985)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationNew Jersey

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (2008)

Notable personal detailsRobert Jacobsen Menendez Jr. is an American lawyer and politician serving as the U.S. representative for New Jersey's 8th congressional district (in office since 2023). Before Congress, he served on the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey Board of Commissioners and worked as an attorney at Lowenstein Sandler. He earned a B.A. from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and a J.D. from Rutgers Law School (Newark).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies that provide tax relief and credits for working- and middle-class families (including expanding the Child Tax Credit and other credits), backs wage growth and pro-worker measures, and participates in efforts to restore state and local tax (SALT) relief for New Jersey taxpayers. Positions emphasize targeted tax credits and investments to help working families rather than broad tax cuts for corporations or wealthy individuals.

Healthcare

Supports lowering the cost of health insurance and prescription drugs, protecting individuals with pre-existing conditions, expanding access to affordable care through community health centers, and improving equity and access to medical care. Advocates using and strengthening Affordable Care Act mechanisms and government programs to expand coverage and affordability.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Robert (Rob) Menendez Jr. has criticized aggressive ICE actions, participated in oversight of an ICE immigration detention center, and supported legal services for immigrants in his district. Local reporting documents he has expressed support for abolishing ICE and has positioned himself against hard-line enforcement tactics while advocating for increased legal supports for immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports protecting the right to choose and codifying reproductive rights into federal law, has cosponsored bills to protect contraception access and the right to abortion care, and supports access to medication abortion. He has received endorsements from reproductive-rights organizations.

Climate & Energy

Supports climate action and clean energy investment, emphasizing environmental justice, upgrades to clean-energy infrastructure (electric buses, EV charging), and policies toward a zero-emissions future while using legislative and oversight tools to defend EPA climate protections.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports re-enacting and expanding a federal assault weapons ban, widening the scope of background checks (including private sales), endorsing federal extreme risk protection orders, addressing ghost guns, and promoting safe-storage laws and school protections.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Robert Menendez Jr. won the Democratic primary in New Jersey’s 8th Congressional District, keeping him in the race for the House seat. He also backed the proposed Sarah Katz Caffeine Safety Act, which would require clearer caffeine labeling on energy drinks. More broadly, his primary win comes as Democrats are seeing stronger progressive momentum in other contests ahead of the 2026 midterms.

history.house.gov+47

Latest Polls

NJ-08 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Center For Strategic Politics
50%40%30%20%10%0%
42%
27%
Robert Menendez Jr.
R. Menendez
Mussab Ali
M. Ali
Date (Start - End)SpreadMenendezAli
Center For Strategic PoliticsApr 11 - 16
Menendez+15.0
42.0%27.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.4M
$1.8M
$1.2M
$596.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.8M
$355.2K
$1.4M
$58.2K

Cycle 2024

$2.4M
$276.7K
$2.5M
$102.6K

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$679.7K
$1.6M
$86.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements