Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Robert Sprague

Robert Sprague

Incumbent Republican candidate for Secretary of State in Ohio

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Robert Sprague is trading at 68% to win the Ohio Secretary of State winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleTreasurer

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationOhio

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationDuke University — B.S., Mechanical Engineering

Notable personal detailsRobert Sprague is an American politician who has served as Ohio Treasurer of State since January 2019. He previously represented Ohio’s 83rd House District from 2011 to 2018 and earlier served in Findlay city government as auditor and treasurer. He has private-sector experience including work as a project lead at Ernst & Young and later running a consulting firm. He earned an undergraduate degree in mechanical engineering from Duke University and an MBA (finance emphasis) from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Robert Sprague has called for fully eliminating Ohio’s state income tax and emphasizes pro-business, pro-small-business policies and fiscal stewardship of state funds. As state treasurer he has promoted investing treasury dollars in Ohio businesses and programs to support small business access to capital and has pursued innovation in payment options and treasury management.

Healthcare

Robert Sprague has supported market-oriented reforms to Medicaid and policies that introduce health savings–style accounts and modest beneficiary contributions (eg, “Buckeye” or HSA-type accounts under Ohio’s Healthy Ohio proposals) and emphasizes personal responsibility and competition to reduce costs. His record in the Ohio legislature and as state treasurer focuses on using accounts, incentives, and pay-for-success approaches rather than advocating for broad public expansions such as single‑payer or Medicare‑for‑All.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and firm border controls, expressing concern about illegal immigration and its impacts. Does not appear to advocate for broad regularization or expanded asylum protections in available public statements.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Robert Sprague has been endorsed by anti-abortion groups and has framed his approach to the issue around alternatives such as adoption-support policies rather than expanding abortion access. Public reporting on his campaigns describes him as aligned with pro-life groups. There are no clear campaign statements in these sources indicating support for unrestricted abortion access or codifying Roe-era protections.

Climate & Energy

Robert Sprague, as Ohio Treasurer, has said he will not make investment decisions based on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors and emphasizes a fiduciary duty to maximize returns rather than pursue political priorities; he has criticized using state investment policy to advance ideological aims. Public statements link him with proposals to reform state energy policy rhetoric but do not show support for aggressive emissions regulations or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Robert Sprague has received high ratings and endorsements from pro-gun groups and voted in favor of legislation that expanded self-defense protections and altered firearm-related rules in Ohio. His record shows support for Second Amendment–friendly policies and measures favored by firearm advocacy organizations.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

1h

Robert Sprague's odds fell below the prior low of 80%, setting a new floor for the Ohio Secretary of State race.

68%12%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Robert Sprague is in the news mainly because he is a candidate in Ohio’s 2026 election cycle, where the governor’s race and other statewide contests are taking shape. Recent coverage also points to a broader push in Ohio politics, including a proposal to replace party primaries with a top-two system for statewide and congressional races. More generally, the state’s 2026 races are drawing heavy attention and money, especially in competitive contests like attorney general and governor.

tos.ohio.gov+45

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

National Public Affairs
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Robert Sprague
R. Sprague
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
National Public AffairsFeb 5, 2025
1.0%
National Public AffairsFeb 5, 2025
1.0%
WPA IntelligenceJan 30, 2025
6.0%
WPA IntelligenceJan 30, 2025
6.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJan 27, 2025
2.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJan 27, 2025
2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising