Prediction Edge
Republican
Royce White

Royce White

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota

Live Odds — Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$376.5KAUG 18, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyPopulist Republican

Age35 years old (Apr 10, 1991)

GenderMale

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LocationMinnesota

BackgroundPolitical candidate

EducationUniversity of Minnesota (attended)

Notable personal detailsRoyce White is a Minnesota politician and former professional basketball player. He played college basketball at the University of Minnesota and Iowa State University and was selected in the first round of the 2012 NBA Draft. He was the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Minnesota in 2024 and has also run for federal office in Minnesota, including a 2022 U.S. House primary.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate calls for cutting taxes broadly and seeks to eliminate or sharply reduce taxes, describing a policy of ‘No Taxes (American Jubilee)’ and opposing tax-driven expansion of the administrative state. He also emphasizes on-shoring and economic independence and criticizes globalist economic structures.

Healthcare

Royce White’s campaign materials oppose COVID-19 vaccine mandates as infringements on religious freedom and individual choice and frame federal pandemic measures as a "globalist" overreach; the campaign site emphasizes personal liberty and critiques pharmaceutical/medical industry power. There is no clear statement on support for universal coverage, Medicare expansion, repeal of the ACA, or market-based healthcare reforms in the cited materials.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports strict immigration enforcement, including deporting people who entered illegally and advocating removal of undocumented immigrants. He has argued that problems tied to Somali immigration should be addressed by returning people to Somalia rather than integrating them in Minnesota and has discussed mass deportations as a policy option.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate opposes abortion, praised the overturning of Roe v. Wade, and has described abortion in strongly negative terms. He has called himself an anti-abortion “absolutist” and expressed opposition to IVF and other reproductive practices he equates with devaluing life.

Climate & Energy

Supports U.S. energy independence and lowering the price of energy to protect national security and avoid foreign entanglements; emphasizes securing domestic energy supplies rather than aggressive emissions regulations or phasing out fossil fuels.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate expresses strong support for broad Second Amendment rights and opposes new gun-control measures and efforts to disarm citizens. He has argued that firearm regulations and additional background checks must be resisted and that citizens should not give up or register their firearms.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 14, 2026

Royce White finished third in Minnesota’s Republican Senate primary, losing to Michele Tafoya, and later said he plans to run for president in 2028. He has also been in the news for saying he will enter the 2027 WNBA Draft as a political statement, though the league says its eligibility rules have not changed. Separately, White is appealing a court ruling that found him liable for abusing his ex-wife and son while he was running for Senate.

fec.gov+56

Latest Polls

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Royce White currently averages 12.2%, ranking second in this race, 32.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 12.2%Position: secondMargin: -32.0 ptsLatest poll: 13.0% (Jul 29 - Aug 4)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 29 - Aug 4.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
12.2%
44.1%
7.2%
Royce White
R. White
Michele Tafoya
M. Tafoya
Adam Schwarze
A. Schwarze
Tom Weiler
T. Weiler
David Hann
D. Hann
Date (Start - End)SpreadWhiteTafoyaSchwarzeWeilerHann
Polling Average
Tafoya+32.0
12.2%44.1%7.2%3.9%3.0%
SurveyUSAJul 29 - Aug 4
Tafoya+35.0
13.0%48.0%5.0%3.0%
Deep Root AnalyticsAug 3 - 4
Tafoya+32.0
15.0%47.0%18.0%
SurveyUSAJul 15 - 20
Tafoya+31.0
10.0%41.0%5.0%7.0%
SurveyUSAJun 11 - 16
Tafoya+21.0
15.0%36.0%7.0%7.0%
Quantus InsightsMay 6 - 9
Tafoya+42.9
8.9%51.8%4.1%1.6%
Peak InsightsJan 31 - Feb 1
Tafoya+30.0
11.0%41.0%4.0%1.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2024

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$392.5K
$294.4K
$196.3K
$98.1K
$0

2022

2024

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$392.5K
$28.1K
$364.4K
$15.2K

Cycle 2024

$0.00
$0.00
$28.1K
$1.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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