Prediction Edge
Democrat
Russell Cleveland

Russell Cleveland

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Montana

Live Odds — MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.7%chance to win

$102.1KJUN 9, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. House candidate

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationMontana

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BackgroundU.S. House candidate

EducationBachelor's degree in nutrition

Notable personal detailsRussell Tyler Cleveland is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Montana’s 1st Congressional District. He has described having military service and experience in high finance managing large budgets, and he has said he holds a bachelor’s degree in nutrition and an MBA. Reporting has also described him as having worked as a smokejumper and as an organizer and lobbyist in Montana.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports closing tax loopholes and curbing corporate influence, increasing protections and benefits for working families (higher minimum wage, stronger unions, caps on property taxes for primary residences), opposing cuts to Social Security/Medicare/Medicaid, and measures that shift tax burden away from low-income households while targeting wealth and corporate concentration.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and describes healthcare as a human right; advocates capping prescription drug prices, restoring/reversing Medicaid and Medicare cuts, expanding rural access (telemedicine, mobile units, reopen clinics), and strengthening the VA.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a humane immigration system with clear, efficient pathways to citizenship, policies that keep families together, protect human rights, and strengthen communities.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting reproductive rights and safeguarding access to reproductive care as part of defending personal freedoms and healthcare as a human right. Advocates protecting reproductive rights in his campaign platform.

Climate & Energy

Supports investment in renewable and clean energy, protection of public lands and wilderness, and policies to curb climate change while promoting sustainable local industries and diversified energy development.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Russell Cleveland is being mentioned in coverage of the 2026 Senate races, where Democrats are facing a difficult path to winning seats in Republican-leaning states. Recent reporting also points to Montana as a key battleground after Sen. Steve Daines announced his retirement, which is reshaping the race there. Overall, the news around Cleveland is tied to the broader Senate contest and the strategic challenges both parties are facing.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tulchin Research
25%20%15%10%5%0%
20%
Russell Cleveland
R. Cleveland
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Tulchin ResearchApr 1, 2026
20.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$457.6K
$343.2K
$228.8K
$114.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$457.6K
$0.04
$445.9K
$24.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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