Trafalgar Group
25%20%15%10%5%0%
18.4%
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
SC-07 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:26 AM UTC
Republican
Russell Fry
Republican candidate for U.S. House in South Carolina
$51.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — SC-07 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
97%chance to win
$51.1KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age41 years old (Jan 31, 1985)
GenderMale
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LocationSouth Carolina
BackgroundAttorney
EducationUniversity of South Carolina (B.A.), 2007
Notable personal detailsRussell William Fry is an American politician and attorney serving as the U.S. Representative for South Carolina’s 7th Congressional District (first elected in 2022; in office since January 3, 2023). He previously served in the South Carolina House of Representatives (District 106) from 2015 to 2022, including as Chief Majority Whip. He earned a B.A. from the University of South Carolina and a J.D. from Charleston School of Law, and practiced law on the Grand Strand.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govfry.house.govfec.govpressgallery.house.goven.wikipedia.orgwikizero.orgclerk.house.govpointedwords.comrussfry.comtpaction.comamericangaming.orgcotton.orgfr.wikipedia.orgscchamber.netscstatehouse.govhouse.govteacherspayteachers.comalmanacofamericanpolitics.substack.comcpac.orglegilist.comgovinfo.govjustfacts.votesmart.orgrussellfrysc.comgop.govcongress.govreproductivefreedomforall.orgnrcc.orgheritageaction.comdor.sc.govgovernor.sc.govscpolicycouncil.orguschamber.comfacebook.comnytimes.comrollcall.comfoxnews.comfoxcarolina.comabcnews4.comyahoo.comscdailygazette.comapnews.comwashingtonpost.comthestate.comfortmillsun.comthecentersquare.comaol.compostandcourier.comthehill.combaltimoresun.comgreenvilleonline.comyoutube.comballotpedia.orgde.wikipedia.orgnews.ballotpedia.orgsubstack.govtrack.uscdn.ballotpedia.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgbioguideretro.congress.govdocs.house.govzh.wikipedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Russell Fry supports tax cuts and tax relief, especially for working families and businesses. He has backed extending Trump-era tax policies, described lower taxes and less red tape as a priority, and supported measures opposing a carbon tax and other tax increases.
Healthcare
Russell Fry opposes a one-size-fits-all government-run healthcare program and says affordable care should come through personalized care, transparency, choice, and competition. His public health position emphasizes market-based solutions rather than single-payer coverage.
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Immigration & Border
Russell Fry advocates a hardline border-security approach focused on finishing the southern border wall, increasing law enforcement presence, strengthening immigration laws, and cracking down on human trafficking and drug smuggling. He also supported legislation to tighten oversight of unaccompanied alien children and keep some children from being released to sponsors when gang ties or criminal history are found.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Russell Fry identifies with pro-life legislation in his official biography. His congressional record includes cosponsoring a bill to prohibit taxpayer-funded abortions and supporting other anti-abortion measures.
Climate & Energy
Russell Fry’s public record emphasizes American energy production and opposition to energy-efficiency mandates and related climate-policy restrictions. He has also supported legislation to repeal home electrification subsidies, streamline environmental review, and expand mining and power reliability measures.
Public Safety & Guns
Russell Fry has publicly aligned himself with pro-Second Amendment positions and has promoted legislation to let law-enforcement officers buy retired service weapons. His public record shows support for measures framed as protecting gun rights rather than expanding gun restrictions.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 11, 2026
Russell Fry is in the news because he is running in South Carolina’s special Republican Senate primary. The race is now underway, with Fry among 10 candidates on the ballot to replace the late Sen. Lindsey Graham. Early voting has already taken place, and the winner will become the GOP nominee for the general election.
history.house.gov+60
Articles
GNGreenville News3 months ago
Who's on the SC special GOP Senate primary ballot, and how to vote
Neutral
L5Live 5 News WCSC3 months ago
Week Ahead in Washington: August 9
Neutral
L5Live 5 News WCSC3 months ago
Polls open for special primary election to replace SC senator on ballot
Neutral
WWIS103 months ago
Lexington County scrambles to prepare for Senate special primary as early voting begins statewide
Neutral
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.7M
$1.3M
$860.4K
$430.2K
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$1.4M
$209.7K
$1.2M
$50.8K
Cycle 2024
$1.5M
$561.2K
$1.2M
$48.3K
Cycle 2026
$1.7M
$1.0M
$1.2M
$69.1K
Source: FEC
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- Endorsements