Prediction Edge
Democrat
Ryan Busse

Ryan Busse

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Montana

Live Odds — MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.5%chance to win

$102.1KJUN 9, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAuthor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationMontana

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BackgroundAuthor

Notable personal detailsRyan Busse is a Montana-based author and former firearms industry executive who previously served as vice president of sales at Kimber Manufacturing. He later became a senior advisor with GIFFORDS and has testified before Congress on firearm policy. Busse was the 2024 Democratic nominee for governor of Montana and filed to run for the U.S. House in Montana’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 cycle.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax changes that favor working Montanans over wealthy individuals and corporations, including closing loopholes that allow the wealthy to pay lower effective rates than workers. Proposes lowering residential property tax rates and cutting taxes for small businesses and family farms while opposing tax breaks for billionaires and corporate tax loopholes.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable health care, including reauthorizing/reauthorization of Medicaid expansion and opposing work requirements; emphasizes lowering prescription drug prices and expanding coverage to protect rural and Native communities. Advocates investing state resources in public health programs and holding drug companies accountable to reduce costs.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has not published a detailed immigration platform on his campaign site; public reporting shows he has criticized Republican handling of immigration and has framed border issues as a federal responsibility while also running an ad that implied criticism of migrants working for the governor. Available public statements and reporting are limited and send mixed signals rather than a clear progressive or enforcement-first policy prescription.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports a person’s right to choose and opposes government interference in reproductive healthcare. Backs a constitutional amendment/ballot initiative to protect abortion access and pledges to veto anti-abortion restrictions. Views abortion access as a privacy and health-care decision that government should not restrict.

Climate & Energy

Candidate accepts that climate change is real and says it must be addressed with urgency and practical solutions; he supports honoring Montana’s constitutional right to a clean and healthful environment and pursuing clean/alternative energy options (including small-scale nuclear) while acknowledging continued use of fossil fuels during transition.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks and strengthened red-flag laws while describing himself as a gun owner who opposes bans on assault-style rifles. Emphasizes responsible gun ownership and criticizes the firearms industry’s marketing practices. Positions combine support for certain regulations with protection of traditional gun uses like hunting and shooting.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Ryan Busse is being mentioned in coverage of Montana’s 2026 Senate race as Democrats try to define their candidates ahead of an upcoming debate. The broader race has shifted after Steve Daines said he will not seek reelection, opening the seat and reshaping the field. The reporting suggests Democrats are still struggling to gain traction in a difficult political environment.

fec.gov+43

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tulchin Research
40%30%20%10%0%
35%
Ryan Busse
R. Busse
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Tulchin ResearchApr 1, 2026
35.0%
Peak InsightsJan 15, 2026
41.0%
Peak InsightsJan 15, 2026
41.0%
Tulchin ResearchNov 25, 2025
47.0%
Tulchin ResearchNov 25, 2025
47.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$790.3K
$592.8K
$395.2K
$197.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$790.3K
$2.0K
$788.3K
$43.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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