Prediction Edge
Democrat
Ryan Crosswell

Ryan Crosswell

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania

Live Odds — PA-07 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.5%chance to win

$64.0KMAY 26, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

LocationPennsylvania

BackgroundAttorney

EducationVanderbilt University (degree)

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Notable personal detailsRyan Crosswell is an attorney and former federal prosecutor who ran as a Democrat for U.S. House in Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He served in the United States Marine Corps and has served in the Marine Corps Reserve, and worked as a federal prosecutor including in the U.S. Department of Justice Public Integrity Section. His campaign emphasized affordability, anti-corruption, and defending democratic institutions.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports protecting Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid and wants to lower costs for working families while opposing tax cuts that benefit billionaires; frames current Republican policy as enriching the wealthy at the expense of the middle class. Emphasizes fighting corruption and preventing wealthy interests from shaping economic policy.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and expanding access to health care through policies that strengthen Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act, extend ACA subsidies, create a public option, and expand Medicare’s ability to negotiate prescription drug prices. Also supports protections for Social Security and Medicare and cracking down on insurance-company abuses and drug middlemen.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate resigned from the Department of Justice in February 2025 after leadership directed prosecutors to dismiss an indictment in a case tied to immigration-enforcement concessions, framing his action as opposition to politicizing prosecutions. Public materials and coverage emphasize his resignation and criticism of using prosecutorial decisions to secure immigration-enforcement cooperation, but do not set out clear policy proposals on border security, asylum, pathways to legalization, or deportation practices.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports expanded gun-safety measures including universal background checks, closing the gun-show loophole, limits on high-capacity magazines, and allowing strict liability lawsuits against gun manufacturers to reduce mass shootings and keep communities safe.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Ryan Crosswell is in the news as a candidate in Pennsylvania’s competitive 2026 House landscape, where Democrats are trying to gain ground in several battleground districts. Recent coverage points to affordability and energy issues, including rising electricity bills and backlash over AI data centers, as major themes shaping the race environment. The broader picture is still fluid, with Democrats making some gains in battleground analysis but Republicans retaining a narrow structural edge.

fec.gov+42

Latest Polls

PA-07 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ryan Crosswell currently averages 8.2%, ranking 4th in this race, 1.8 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 8.2%Position: 4thMargin: -1.8 ptsLatest poll: 16.0% (May 17 - 17)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through May 17 - 17.

Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
8.2%
18.6%
15.4%
10%
7%
Ryan Crosswell
R. Crosswell
Lamont McClure
L. McClure
Bob Brooks
B. Brooks
Carol Obando-Derstine
C. Obando-Derstine
Mark Pinsley
M. Pinsley
Date (Start - End)SpreadCrosswellMcClureBrooksObando-DerstinePinsley
Polling Average
McClure+10.4
8.2%18.6%15.4%10.0%7.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 17 - 17
Brooks+10.0
16.0%17.0%26.0%8.0%
GBAOApr 16 - 19
Brooks+15.0
9.0%17.0%24.0%12.0%
GBAOFeb 25 - Mar 1
McClure+11.0
8.0%19.0%13.0%13.0%
Change ResearchDec 16 - 19
McClure+12.0
5.0%17.0%11.0%10.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 29 - 30
McClure+20.0
3.0%23.0%3.0%7.0%7.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.9M
$1.4M
$936.3K
$468.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.9M
$13.2K
$1.9M
$103.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements