Prediction Edge
Democrat
Sam Bregman

Sam Bregman

Democratic candidate for Governor in New Mexico

Live Odds — New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.2%chance to win

$71.9KJUN 3, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleDistrict Attorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderMale

LocationNew Mexico

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BackgroundDistrict attorney

EducationUniversity of New Mexico (bachelor’s degree)

Notable personal detailsSam Bregman is the District Attorney for New Mexico’s Second Judicial District (Bernalillo County). He was appointed to the position in January 2023 and later won election to a full term in 2024. He has worked as a litigator and former prosecutor, previously served as a deputy state auditor, and served on the Albuquerque City Council. He earned a bachelor’s degree from the University of New Mexico and a Juris Doctor from the University of New Mexico School of Law.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting middle-class taxes and eliminating taxes on essential services while expanding refundable tax credits for children and working families, incentivizing small-business job creation, and offering targeted tax credits to attract entrepreneurs and clean-energy manufacturing. Proposes removing New Mexico’s tax on medical services and creating refundable credits for small businesses and relocating skilled workers to grow the tax base.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to medical care in New Mexico through strengthening public programs and removing barriers to providers; proposals include protecting Medicaid funding, eliminating the gross receipts tax on medical services, medical malpractice reform, and joining an interstate licensure compact to increase provider availability.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protecting asylum access and limiting local/state involvement in immigration enforcement while cooperating with federal authorities for serious criminal offenses; opposes county immigrant detention contracts and non-judicial ICE detainers and proposes safe zones and limits on immigration-status inquiries during delivery of public services.

Climate & Energy

Supports major expansion of clean energy (solar, wind, geothermal, hydrogen), modernizing the grid and building transmission and storage, while endorsing continued, regulated oil-and-gas production during a transition (plugging orphan wells, cutting methane, stronger oversight) and using fossil revenues to fund clean-energy investments and schools.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background-check enforcement and red-flag orders, stronger prosecution of gun traffickers and straw purchasers, safe-storage programs and school zero-tolerance for firearms while also emphasizing police recruitment and juvenile accountability. Plans a Gun Violence Prosecution Unit and implementation steps to make recent gun-safety laws effective.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Sam Bregman lost the Democratic nomination for New Mexico governor to Deb Haaland, who won by a wide margin in the primary. Before the vote, Bregman was in a costly and closely watched race that drew heavy turnout and more than $17 million in total campaign spending. He also spent the final stretch attacking Haaland and arguing his record as Bernalillo County district attorney, while laying out positions on education, immigration, crime, healthcare, and the state budget.

governor.state.nm.us+49

Latest Polls

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Sam Bregman currently averages 22.3%, ranking second in this race, 29.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 22.3%Position: secondMargin: -29.5 ptsLatest poll: 30.0% (Apr 17 - 24)Polls included: 9

Average recalculated from polls through Apr 17 - 24.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
22.3%
51.8%
9%
Sam Bregman
S. Bregman
Deb Haaland
D. Haaland
Ken Miyagishima
K. Miyagishima
Date (Start - End)SpreadBregmanHaalandMiyagishima
Polling Average
Haaland+29.5
22.3%51.8%9.0%
Research & PollingApr 17 - 24
Haaland+22.0
30.0%52.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 18 - 19
Haaland+16.5
23.9%40.4%
Change ResearchFeb 21 - 24
Haaland+21.0
25.0%46.0%
GBAOFeb 9 - 12
Haaland+30.0
26.0%56.0%
Change ResearchJan 12 - 18
Haaland+27.0
23.0%50.0%
Change ResearchOct 8 - 13
Haaland+32.0
22.0%54.0%
GBAOAug 6 - 11
Haaland+36.0
19.0%55.0%9.0%
Change ResearchMar 9 - 13
Haaland+49.0
14.0%63.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 4 - 5
Haaland+32.0
18.0%50.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising