Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Sara Jacobs

Sara Jacobs

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Sara Jacobs is trading at 99% to win the CA-51 primary: first place on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age37 years old (Feb 1, 1989)

GenderFemale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationColumbia University — B.A. (2011)

Notable personal detailsSara Josephine Jacobs is an American politician serving as the U.S. Representative for California’s 51st congressional district, first elected in 2020 and taking office on January 3, 2021. She previously worked at the United Nations (2012–2014) and the U.S. Department of State (2014–2015), and has also worked as a presidential campaign aide and nonprofit executive. She earned a B.A. (2011) and an M.I.A. (2012) from Columbia University.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports increasing taxes on the wealthy and large corporations to fund expanded social programs (for example child care and other investments) and has opposed budgets that provide tax breaks for the ultra‑rich. Has advocated for rolling back high-end tax cuts and supported legislation that would raise revenue from wealthy estates to fund social priorities.

Healthcare

Sara Jacobs supports a single-payer approach to health care and has endorsed Medicare for All as a pathway to universal coverage. She has co-sponsored Medicare for All legislation and stated that health care is a human right that requires a strong public role to achieve universal coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanding legal migration pathways and protecting access to asylum while calling for increased capacity (more immigration judges) and humanitarian parole programs; opposes measures that would sharply restrict asylum or criminalize migrants. Emphasizes a humanitarian approach to border policy while advocating targeted enforcement against trafficking and improving border efficiency.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding access to abortion and reproductive care, including legislative measures to safeguard patient privacy and codify reproductive rights. Has sponsored and co-sponsored federal bills and introduced protections aimed at preserving abortion access and related health privacy in the post‑Dobbs era.

Climate & Energy

Supports the Green New Deal and has stated goals for a rapid transition to a zero-carbon/100% clean energy economy by 2030; advocates major clean-energy investment and climate legislation while emphasizing justice for affected workers and communities.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports federal assault‑weapons restrictions, expanded/universal background checks, and red‑flag/Extreme Risk Protection Order authority; has co‑sponsored and voted for House gun‑violence prevention legislation and cites supporting the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act. Endorses additional gun‑safety measures alongside investments in school security, law enforcement resources, and mental‑health services.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Sara Jacobs is in the news because she is running for re-election in California’s 51st Congressional District and has been outlining her campaign priorities. She has focused on housing, child care, immigration, climate, and congressional oversight, while saying Democrats should emphasize affordability if they win the House. She also recently discussed foreign affairs and Congress’s role in policy on Iran, foreign assistance, and defense legislation.

history.house.gov+51

Endorsements

7
CA-51 primary: first place

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.7M
$1.3M
$862.3K
$431.1K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.7M
$90.0K
$1.7M
$71.9K

Cycle 2024

$1.7M
$77.4K
$1.7M
$72.4K

Cycle 2026

$1.6M
$269.5K
$1.4M
$80.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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