Prediction Edge
Democrat
Sara Rodriguez

Sara Rodriguez

Democratic candidate for Governor in Wisconsin

Live Odds — Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$16.2MAUG 18, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleLieutenant Governor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age51 years old (Jul 25, 1975)

GenderFemale

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LocationWisconsin

BackgroundPolitician

EducationIllinois Wesleyan University — B.A., Neuroscience

Notable personal detailsSara Rodriguez is a Democratic politician and registered nurse who has served as the 46th lieutenant governor of Wisconsin since January 2023. She previously represented Wisconsin State Assembly District 13 from 2021 to 2023 and has worked in public health and healthcare leadership roles, including with the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In July 2026, she ended her campaign for the Democratic nomination for governor of Wisconsin.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports investments in workforce development, small businesses, and public services while opposing cuts to Medicaid/Medicare and policies that deliver tax breaks to the wealthy. Emphasizes lowering costs for families (notably health care) through public investments and using local revenue from development to reduce tax burdens on residents. No clear advocacy for major tax increases on high earners or explicit tax-rate proposals found in cited materials.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable health coverage, including expanding BadgerCare/Medicaid and proposals to lower health care prices, strengthen the health care workforce, and guarantee affordable coverage for Wisconsin residents. Emphasizes public-health approaches and protections for reproductive health as part of healthcare policy. Prior actions include leading efforts in the Assembly to expand BadgerCare and chairing a statewide task force on the health care workforce.

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Immigration & Border

Supports limiting federal civil immigration enforcement in sensitive locations (courthouses, hospitals, schools, day cares, domestic violence shelters, and places of worship) with narrow exceptions for judicial warrants or immediate public-safety threats, and calls for ICE agents to be clearly identified and to wear body cameras. Opposes encouraging residents to obstruct federal agents and instead urges peaceful protest and documentation to hold agents accountable.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and restoring broad reproductive rights including access to abortion; opposes the 1849 Wisconsin law criminalizing abortion and has co-authored legislation to repeal it. Pledges to defend the right to choose, describe abortion as healthcare, and join interstate efforts to protect reproductive freedom and access to reproductive care.

Climate & Energy

Supports investing in clean energy and green job training, expanding electric vehicle infrastructure, and protecting Wisconsin’s natural resources and water infrastructure while preparing the workforce for electrification and 21st-century infrastructure needs.

Public Safety & Guns

Sara Rodriguez frames gun violence as a public-health and community-safety issue and supports expanded background checks and implementation of red flag (extreme risk) laws to keep firearms from people who pose a risk. Her campaign materials highlight treating gun violence through a public-health lens while outreach and event coverage record her advocating specific measures like background checks on all sales and red flag laws.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026

Sara Rodriguez has dropped out of the Wisconsin Democratic governor race after campaign finance reporting problems and a cash shortfall drew scrutiny. She said the issue would be a distraction heading into the August 11 primary, and her exit narrows the Democratic field. Earlier, her campaign said it had discovered far less cash on hand than previously reported, leading her to fire her campaign manager and notify state ethics officials.

evers.wi.gov+56

Latest Polls

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Sara Rodriguez currently averages 9.6%, ranking third in this race, 8.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 9.6%Position: thirdMargin: -8.1 ptsLatest poll: 4.0% (Jul 23 - 26)Polls included: 11

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 23 - 26.

Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
9.6%
19.0%
17.7%
7.5%
7.0%
Sara Rodriguez
S. Rodriguez
Mandela Barnes
M. Barnes
Francesca Hong
F. Hong
Josh Kaul
J. Kaul
David Crowley
D. Crowley
Kelda Roys
K. Roys
Joel Brennan
J. Brennan
Missy Hughes
M. Hughes
Ben Wikler
B. Wikler
Brett Hulsey
B. Hulsey
Date (Start - End)SpreadRodriguezBarnesHongKaulCrowleyRoysBrennanHughesWiklerHulsey
Polling Average
Barnes+9.3
9.6%19.0%17.7%7.5%7.0%2.4%1.9%1.2%1.0%0.4%
State NavigateJul 23 - 26
Hong+40.0
4.0%14.0%44.0%15.0%4.0%4.0%1.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8 - 16
Hong+15.0
11.0%15.0%26.0%1.0%2.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4
Hong+11.0
19.0%28.0%30.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15
Barnes+13.0
10.4%23.4%7.3%8.2%3.3%1.7%0.2%0.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15
Barnes+11.8
12.3%24.1%8.5%8.0%3.9%1.6%0.2%0.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18
Hong+11.0
3.0%11.0%14.0%3.0%1.0%2.0%1.0%0.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16
Hong+21.0
6.0%18.0%27.0%6.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19
Hong+5.0
6.0%10.0%11.0%3.0%1.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12
Barnes+8.0
20.0%28.0%5.0%7.0%2.0%0.0%1.0%1.0%
TIPP InsightsNov 17 - 21
Barnes+15.0
6.0%21.0%8.0%6.0%1.0%2.0%
Platform CommunicationsSep 28 - 30
Barnes+8.0
8.0%16.0%4.0%7.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising