Prediction Edge
Democrat
Seth Moulton

Seth Moulton

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Seth Moulton is trading at 0% to win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age47 years old (Oct 24, 1978)

GenderMale

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LocationMassachusetts

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationHarvard College (B.S., Physics)

Notable personal detailsSeth Wilbur Moulton is a U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 6th congressional district, serving since 2015. A Marine Corps veteran, he served four tours in Iraq and left the service with the rank of captain. He earned a B.S. in physics from Harvard College and later completed joint graduate degrees at Harvard Business School and Harvard Kennedy School. He is married to Liz Moulton and has two children.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising revenue by closing tax loopholes and increasing taxes on corporations and wealthy households, including raising the corporate tax rate, taxing capital gains as ordinary income, reforming the estate tax, and ending common tax shelters; proposes using the revenue to expand programs such as healthcare, climate action, and support for the middle class.

Healthcare

Supports the Affordable Care Act and expanding access to care through targeted government programs and reforms rather than adopting a single‑payer Medicare for All system. Focuses on expanding mental‑health services, protections for maternity and disability care, and legislation to extend ACA premium tax credits and improve coverage affordability. Opposes full single‑payer proposals while advocating government action to lower costs and broaden access.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanded legal pathways and a pathway to citizenship, defends DACA and Temporary Protected Status, and opposes aggressive or abusive immigration enforcement tactics while calling for accountability and limits on enforcement expansion. Advocates humane immigration processing, targeted foreign aid to address root causes, and has introduced legislation to redirect ICE funding and increase oversight of immigration agents.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion and reproductive rights, endorses federal protections such as the Women’s Health Protection Act to enshrine reproductive choice, and opposes restrictions that limit access (including support for repealing the Hyde Amendment).

Climate & Energy

Seth Moulton supports aggressive federal climate action, including endorsing the Green New Deal and backing major clean-energy investments such as those in the Inflation Reduction Act. He advocates expanding renewable energy, carbon pricing, and ending fossil fuel extraction on federal lands while also supporting low-carbon nuclear and fusion research. His public statements and voting record emphasize climate mitigation and large-scale clean-energy investment.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, expanding universal background checks, and enacting/strengthening red flag (extreme risk protection) laws; has called for holding gun manufacturers accountable and other ‘common-sense’ gun-safety measures. Has voted in favor of federal assault-weapons restriction measures and is a member of the House Gun Violence Prevention Task Force.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 19, 2026

Seth Moulton is in the middle of a close Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary against Sen. Ed Markey, but recent polling shows him trailing, 60% to 32% among likely Democratic primary voters. He has been campaigning hard in the final stretch, using debates and TV ads to push a message of generational change and different leadership. Moulton has also faced scrutiny over his attacks on Markey, including calls for medical records and comments about trans athletes, which he recently apologized for.

moulton.house.gov+43

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Emerson College
40%30%20%10%0%
34.7%
Seth Moulton
S. Moulton
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Emerson CollegeAug 29, 2026
34.7%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterAug 24, 2026
28.0%
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovAug 12, 2026
49.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 4, 2026
32.3%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterApr 20, 2026
33.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterApr 20, 2026
56.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2024

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.9M
$2.2M
$1.5M
$727.1K
$0

2022

2024

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.1M
$769.3K
$1.6M
$67.2K

Cycle 2024

$2.9M
$1.9M
$1.8M
$76.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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