Prediction Edge
Democrat
Shanel Robinson

Shanel Robinson

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

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Live Odds — NJ-12 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

99%chance to win

$29.8KJUN 3, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSomerset County Commissioner (Board of County Commissioners)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationNew Jersey

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BackgroundSomerset County Commissioner (Board of County Commissioners)

EducationBachelor of Arts, Labor Studies and Employee Relations, Rutgers University–New Brunswick

Notable personal detailsShanel Y. Robinson is a U.S. Air Force Reserves veteran and local elected official in Somerset County, New Jersey. She serves on the Somerset County Board of County Commissioners (first elected in 2019) and has served as Commissioner Director, and she previously served on the Franklin Township Council, including as deputy mayor. Robinson has also served as president of the New Jersey Association of Counties and has run for the Democratic nomination for U.S. House in New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District.

SourcesShow
somersetcountynj.govfec.govshanel4congress.comdailyprincetonian.comapi.open.fec.govdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgefoservices.fec.govcommunitysentinel.medianj.govwebforms.fec.govapps.npr.orgvote-usa.orgpatch.cominsidernj.comen.wikipedia.orglegistorm.comnjac.orgballotready.orgnewjerseyglobe.comwatchungdems.comfranklintwpnj.orgpolitics1.commontgomerynj.govthegrwdb.orgfranklinreporter.comjustapedia.orgidcrawl.combluevoterguide.orginstagram.comdocquery.fec.govwatsoncoleman.house.govvotesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgcongress.govgovinfo.govconnolly.house.govstatic.votesmart.orgdisclosures-clerk.house.gov

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies to lower costs for working families and expand targeted tax credits and investments (including housing and affordability measures) rather than advocating major tax cuts. Emphasizes reducing household costs, protecting access to healthcare, and investing in infrastructure and clean energy as part of economic policy.

Healthcare

Supports universal healthcare and describes healthcare as a right; advocates universal healthcare for all and expanded access to dignified, compassionate care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports abolishing U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and calls for creating an immigration system rooted in safety and respect for all; opposes current DHS leadership and advocates for immigration policies that protect rights and humane treatment.

Climate & Energy

Supports committing the U.S. to 100% renewable electricity by 2035 and a zero-carbon economy by 2050; advocates environmental justice, stronger air and water pollution regulations, investment in green infrastructure and resilient systems, and programs to transition fossil-fuel workers into good-paying renewable-energy jobs.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports implementing universal background checks and restrictions on assault weapons, investing in gun-violence prevention and mental-health crisis teams, and prioritizing community-based violence-interruption and community policing strategies.

Endorsements

5
NJ-12 Democratic nominee?
Somerset County Democratic CommitteeWHWith Honor Fund IIIJDJoe Danielsen
Somerset County CommissionersFranklin Township Democratic Committee

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$158.4K
$118.8K
$79.2K
$39.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$158.4K
$3.5K
$155.0K
$8.6K

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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