Prediction Edge
Democrat
Shawn Keenan

Shawn Keenan

Democratic candidate for Secretary of State in Idaho

Live Odds — Idaho Secretary of State winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSenior loan consultant

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyLiberal Democrat

GenderMale

LocationIdaho

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BackgroundSenior loan consultant

EducationLewis-Clark State College — Bachelor's (2004), Communication and Media Studies

Notable personal detailsShawn Keenan is a Democratic candidate for Idaho Secretary of State in 2026 and previously ran for the office in 2022. He is a longtime resident of Coeur d’Alene and has a background in communications and media studies. His professional experience includes work in mortgage and lending, including as a senior loan consultant.

SourcesShow
canvass.sos.idaho.govballotready.orgdemsofstate.orgeastidahonews.comen.wikipedia.orgbinghamid.govarchive.voteidaho.govin.govelections.canyoncounty.id.govcivoren.comshoshonecounty.id.govvoteidaho.govivoterguide.comsos.idaho.govoppintell.comclwctyidahodems.orgnezpercecountyelections.govsandpointonline.comreddit.comtheballotbrief.comdoi.idaho.govmedium.comidahocapitalsun.compbs.orgcommerce.idaho.govarchive.sos.idaho.govfec.govlso.legislature.idaho.govcongress.govblainecountyid.govtax.idaho.govtransparencyusa.orggov.idaho.govinstagram.combluevoterguide.orglinkedin.comgeds-sage.gc.caadademocrats.orgfacebook.comadacounty.id.govdocquery.fec.govnass.orgncsl.orggovinfo.govwikidata.orgnews.ballotpedia.orghelp.senate.govjustfacts.votesmart.org

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Keenan has emphasized fiscal transparency and accountability in his campaign messaging. In public testimony, he also argued that Medicaid-related policy changes would cost taxpayers more and said affordable coverage matters for small businesses and residents.

Healthcare

Shawn Keenan opposed a Medicaid-related waiver that he said would create a coverage gap and increase costs for Idahoans. He argued that Medicaid is the most cost-efficient way to extend insurance and that it offers stable, affordable coverage.

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Public Safety & Guns

Shawn Keenan did not answer iVoterGuide’s 2nd Amendment questionnaire items about what gun restrictions are needed to protect public safety or whether victims of gun violence should be able to sue firearms dealers and manufacturers. No clear public stance on gun regulation is documented in the sources reviewed.

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