Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Idaho Secretary of State winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Shawn Keenan

    Will Shawn Keenan win the 2026 Idaho Secretary of State election?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 7:49 AM UTC

Democrat
Shawn Keenan

Shawn Keenan

Democratic candidate for Secretary of State in Idaho

Saved odds — Idaho Secretary of State winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

0%chance to win

$360.00NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSenior loan consultant

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyLiberal Democrat

GenderMale

LocationIdaho

Show more

BackgroundSenior loan consultant

EducationLewis-Clark State College — Bachelor's (2004), Communication and Media Studies

Notable personal detailsShawn Keenan is a Democratic candidate for Idaho Secretary of State in 2026 and previously ran for the office in 2022. He is a longtime resident of Coeur d’Alene and has a background in communications and media studies. His professional experience includes work in mortgage and lending, including as a senior loan consultant.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Keenan has emphasized fiscal transparency and accountability in his campaign messaging. In public testimony, he also argued that Medicaid-related policy changes would cost taxpayers more and said affordable coverage matters for small businesses and residents.

Healthcare

Shawn Keenan opposed a Medicaid-related waiver that he said would create a coverage gap and increase costs for Idahoans. He argued that Medicaid is the most cost-efficient way to extend insurance and that it offers stable, affordable coverage.

Show more

Public Safety & Guns

Shawn Keenan did not answer iVoterGuide’s 2nd Amendment questionnaire items about what gun restrictions are needed to protect public safety or whether victims of gun violence should be able to sue firearms dealers and manufacturers. No clear public stance on gun regulation is documented in the sources reviewed.

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • News
  • Polls
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising