Prediction Edge
Republican
Sonja Shaw

Sonja Shaw

Republican candidate for Na in California

Live Odds — California Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

28%chance to win

$1.7KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSchool Board Member

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderFemale

LocationCalifornia

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BackgroundSchool board member

EducationRuben S. Ayala High School (graduate)

Notable personal detailsSonja Shaw is an elected member of the Chino Valley Unified School District Board of Education (elected 2022) and has served as board president (2023–2025). She is a Chino native and a graduate of Ruben S. Ayala High School. Before holding public office, she owned and operated small businesses in fitness/health coaching and professional photography, and previously held a California real estate license. She is a 2026 candidate for California Superintendent of Public Instruction.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Immigration & Border

Publicly available material does not show a detailed immigration policy agenda for Sonja Shaw. Her campaign site identifies her as a border security advocate/defender, but her questionnaire response on immigration enforcement was limited to saying districts should follow the law, communicate clearly with families, and keep their attention on the classroom.

Public Safety & Guns

Sonja Shaw has been endorsed by the California Rifle & Pistol Association PAC, indicating support for Second Amendment rights. Her publicly available candidate materials emphasize law enforcement and safety, but do not spell out a detailed gun policy platform.

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