Prediction Edge
Republican
Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-19 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$156.5KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age49 years old (Sep 2, 1977)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

EducationFlorida Gulf Coast University (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsLal Spencer Roach III is an American attorney and military veteran who served as a Republican member of the Florida House of Representatives from 2018 to 2024, representing districts in Lee County and surrounding areas. He previously served as a Coast Guard judge advocate (JAG) officer and worked as an aide to U.S. Representative Francis Rooney. Roach earned a B.S. from Florida Gulf Coast University and a J.D. from the University of Miami School of Law.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax reductions and tax-relief measures such as business tax cuts and sales-tax exemptions/holidays and favors limited government intervention in the economy, emphasizing free-market solutions and minimal regulation. Has sponsored/co-sponsored legislation that reduces business taxes and limits use of public funds by local governments for campaigning on tax issues.

Immigration & Border

Supports construction of a border wall and other infrastructure to exert complete control over entry and exit to the United States, indicating a strong enforcement-first approach to border policy.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Spencer Roach is a pro‑life Republican who has sponsored and voted for multiple bills restricting abortion in Florida, including measures that ban abortion after six weeks and after 15 weeks. He has received endorsement from anti‑abortion groups and publicly described abortion as unconscionable.

Climate & Energy

Spencer Roach has focused on post-hurricane insurance reform in Florida, notably advocating for state-backed "universal wind coverage" after Hurricane Ian; public materials and news coverage emphasize insurance and wind-damage policy rather than broad climate-mitigation proposals. There is no clear public record of Roach endorsing aggressive emissions targets, Green New Deal–style legislation, or comprehensive clean-energy transition policies in the sources located.

Public Safety & Guns

Spencer Roach has supported legislation that reduces state-level restrictions on firearm purchases, including votes and sponsorships to lower the minimum purchase age from 21 to 18. His legislative record shows support for expanding gun purchase eligibility while serving in the Florida House. No clear public evidence was found of support for major restrictions such as assault weapon bans or red-flag laws.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 30, 2026

Spencer Roach is in the news as a Republican candidate in Florida’s 9th Congressional District primary, where he is one of several contenders competing for the nomination to challenge Democrat Darren Soto. The race is centered on issues like affordability, housing, taxes, utilities, education, immigration, and environmental policy. Recent coverage also places him in the broader Florida redistricting fight, which could reshape congressional seats and make the district more favorable to Republicans.

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