Prediction Edge
Democrat
Stan Caplan

Stan Caplan

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-51 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$13.0KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSmall business owner

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundSmall business owner

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Notable personal detailsStan Caplan is a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in California’s 51st Congressional District. He has been listed on California’s certified candidate list as a Democratic candidate and “Small Business Owner” for the June 2, 2026 statewide direct primary. He is associated with Caplan Financial, where he has been listed as the owner.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reducing taxes and shrinking government spending, including proposals to lower or eliminate income taxes for lower earners and other pro–small-business measures. Emphasizes using private enterprise rather than government to grow the economy and reducing regulation to help small businesses compete.

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger physical security of the southern border and emphasizes restricting immigration to legal channels; links illegal immigration to crime and stresses the need for increased border enforcement. Positions favor enforcement and border control measures rather than expansive legalization or asylum-expanding reforms.

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Climate & Energy

The candidate has publicly prioritized reducing gas and energy costs by increasing domestic oil and natural gas production and has expressed support from conservative groups; campaign and filing records identify him as a candidate for CA-51. He has also appeared on voter-profile sites with statements about climate and energy, but his specific policy emphasis emphasizes fossil fuel production and lower energy prices rather than aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style plans.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Stan Caplan is running as a Democrat in California’s 51st Congressional District ahead of the 2026 midterms. In recent campaign coverage, he has emphasized affordability, public safety, immigration enforcement, and opposition to progressive policies, saying he switched parties because the district is heavily Democratic. The reporting is mostly local candidate coverage, and there are no major new developments beyond his campaign pitch.

fec.gov+40

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2024

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$135.4K
$101.5K
$67.7K
$33.8K
$0

2022

2024

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$135.4K
$0.00
$135.4K
$5.6K

Cycle 2024

$42.0K
$0.00
$42.0K
$2.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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