Prediction Edge
Democrat
Stephen Clemons

Stephen Clemons

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-48 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$4.6KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEnergy systems executive

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundEnergy systems executive

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Notable personal detailsStephen Clemons is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in California's 48th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He registered with the Federal Election Commission as a House candidate and authorized the principal campaign committee "Stephen Clemons for Congress". He has been described in official California primary-election materials as an energy systems executive.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports a pro-business tax approach that simplifies the tax code and rewards companies for creating local jobs and investing in workers while emphasizing higher wages and middle-class growth. Advocates policies to grow the economy and bring good-paying jobs to the district rather than partisan tax battles.

Healthcare

The candidate says health care should be a human right and supports the goals of the Affordable Care Act while calling for practical reforms to lower costs, increase pricing transparency, expand affordable options, and address prescription drug prices. He emphasizes bipartisan solutions, prevention and primary care, and protecting access and affordability rather than moving to a single-payer system.

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Climate & Energy

Supports an active clean-energy transition with investments in grid modernization, automation, and utility-scale clean energy while prioritizing energy affordability and consumer protections. Emphasizes holding monopoly utilities accountable and using technology and policy to lower electric rates and improve reliability. Focus is on pragmatic clean-energy implementation rather than radical or eliminationist fossil-fuel policies.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Stephen Clemons is in the news because he is one of the candidates in California’s redrawn 48th congressional district primary. The race is being closely watched because California’s top-two system could leave Democrats out of the general election if their vote splits too much among the many candidates. The main development so far is the primary itself and the uncertainty over which two candidates will advance.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

CA-48 primary: first place

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Stephen Clemons currently averages 0.5%, ranking 7th in this race, 0.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 0.5%Position: 7thMargin: -0.5 ptsLatest poll: 0.0% (May 8 - 14)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 8 - 14.

Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
27%
11.5%
10.5%
Stephen Clemons
S. Clemons
Jim Desmond
J. Desmond
Kevin O'Neil
K. O'Neil
Ammar Campa-Najjar
A. Campa-Najjar
Mike Schaefer
M. Schaefer
Eric Shaw
E. Shaw
Ferguson Porter
F. Porter
Luis Reyna
L. Reyna
Date (Start - End)SpreadClemonsDesmondO'NeilCampa-NajjarSchaeferShawPorterReyna
Polling Average
Desmond+26.5
0.5%27.0%11.5%10.5%4.5%2.0%1.0%0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 8 - 14
Desmond+29.0
0.0%29.0%10.0%9.0%3.0%2.0%1.0%
SurveyUSAApr 14 - 19
Desmond+24.0
1.0%25.0%13.0%12.0%6.0%2.0%1.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising