Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Steve Cohen

Steve Cohen

Overview

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports restoring fairness to the tax code and raising adequate revenue, including measures targeting very high-wealth individuals; has sponsored/co-sponsored legislation to tax billionaires and backed expansion of tax credits for low-income workers.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and protecting the Affordable Care Act, opposing repeal efforts and cuts to Medicare and Medicaid; advocates expanding access to care through federal programs and increased funding for medical research and public health. Has voted for legislation and rules intended to expand coverage (including measures in Build Back Better) and has criticized proposals that would reduce Medicaid or ACA coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports limiting aggressive immigration enforcement and opposes deployment of ICE agents and stepped-up immigration enforcement in his district; has criticized ICE tactics and recruitment and said arrests for mere unlawful presence should not automatically lead to deportation. Advocates for transparency and accountability in ICE operations and has challenged policies aiming to force local cooperation with federal immigration enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports legal abortion access and federal protections for those rights, has cosponsored legislation to codify Roe v. Wade and opposes efforts to restrict abortion and contraception access.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive climate action including transitioning the Tennessee Valley Authority and the grid to 100% clean energy by 2035, has cosponsored major climate legislation (including the Green New Deal and other climate bills), and emphasizes federal investment in clean energy and emissions reduction.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning assault weapons, closing private-sale/background-check loopholes, strengthening background checks, and enacting red flag/other gun-violence-prevention measures. Has cosponsored federal assault-weapons and background-check legislation and backed research and programs to reduce gun violence.

Latest Insights

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

27d

Cohen’s withdrawal removes the main remaining obstacle to Justin Pearson in the TN-09 Democratic nominee market, which has already repriced sharply toward Pearson and now looks heavily one-sided unless Cohen’s lawsuit restores his old map.

2%

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

27d

Cohen’s withdrawal turns the Democratic nominee market even more decisively toward Justin Pearson, who is now heavily favored; traders should treat the remaining risk as whether litigation or a map change revives Cohen’s path.

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

27d

Cohen’s May 15 withdrawal removes the main obstacle to Justin Pearson in the Democratic nominee market, while Pearson has already surged to 85% and Cohen has collapsed to 1.9%. That keeps the TN-09 primary repricing trader-relevant even as Pearson says he still plans to run in the redrawn district and Cohen leaves open a court-driven comeback path.

2%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

Steve Cohen is in the news because he said he will end his reelection bid after Tennessee redrew his Memphis-based 9th District into three Republican-leaning districts. He has said he may get back in the race if a court challenge restores the old map. The redistricting fight has also sparked broader backlash over voting rights and representation in Tennessee.

cohen.house.gov+23

Polls

TN-09 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45%
44%
Steve Cohen
S. Cohen
Justin Pearson
J. Pearson
Date (Start - End)SpreadCohenPearson
Polling Average
Cohen+1.0
45.0%44.0%
Data for ProgressJan 30 - Feb 3
Cohen+1.0
45.0%44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$991.3K
$495.7K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$546.3K
$1.4M
$313.8K
$13.1K

Cycle 2024

$703.5K
$1.7M
$432.3K
$18.0K

Cycle 2026

$658.6K
$2.0M
$395.3K
$26.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements