Prediction Edge
Republican
Steve Toth

Steve Toth

Overview

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age65 years old (Nov 29, 1960)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundPolitician

EducationRochester Bible College (attended)

Notable personal detailsSteven Hixson Toth is an American businessman, pastor, and Republican politician. He has served in the Texas House of Representatives for District 15 (The Woodlands area), including terms beginning in 2013 and again in 2019. He is also a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas’s 2nd Congressional District.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports limited government, tax relief and pro-taxpayer policies, and favors protectionist tariffs to defend U.S. industry while opposing expanded government spending. Campaign materials emphasize empowering people and limiting government; fiscal ratings from conservative taxpayer groups rate him highly.

Healthcare

The candidate opposes expansion of the Affordable Care Act/Medicaid and has argued that Obamacare and Medicaid expansion are harmful to employment and state finances. His public record includes sponsoring and supporting restrictive healthcare-related measures such as limits on abortion medication access.

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Immigration & Border

Supports aggressive border enforcement and measures to reduce immigration, including finishing the border wall, closing the southern border, and legislative changes to end birthright citizenship; frames immigration as a security threat and calls for stronger state action against illegal crossings.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports strict abortion restrictions and has sponsored and voted for legislation to ban or heavily limit abortion (including heartbeat/6-week and medication-abortion restrictions) and to impose criminal penalties or reporting requirements on providers.

Climate & Energy

Supports energy independence and limited government intervention on energy-related matters; has sponsored legislation to prohibit financial institutions and businesses from using ESG or other value-based criteria. Positions emphasize protecting traditional energy interests and opposing policies that favor environmental, social, or governance standards in finance rather than advancing aggressive emissions-reduction or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Steve Toth strongly supports Second Amendment rights, has advocated blocking federal gun restrictions, and backs policies favorable to gun owners (including constitutional carry). He also emphasizes backing law enforcement and has sponsored legislation to prevent state enforcement of prospective federal gun-control measures.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Steve Toth is in the news after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the Texas 2nd District Republican primary. The win was boosted by support from Ted Cruz and by redistricting that helped Toth’s base, while Crenshaw was hurt by his lack of Trump’s endorsement. More recently, Toth was also named in a report about candidates being suspended and fined by Kalshi for betting on their own races, though the summary does not say he was one of the candidates involved.

fec.gov+52

Polls

TX-02 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
19%
47%
Steve Toth
S. Toth
Dan Crenshaw
D. Crenshaw
Martin Etwop
M. Etwop
Nicholas Plumb
N. Plumb
Date (Start - End)SpreadTothCrenshawEtwopPlumb
Polling Average
Crenshaw+28.0
19.0%47.0%1.0%1.0%
Meeting Street InsightsOct 21 - 23
Crenshaw+28.0
19.0%47.0%1.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$698.3K
$523.7K
$349.2K
$174.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$698.3K
$124.3K
$574.0K
$38.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements