Prediction Edge
Democrat
Theo Chino-Tavarez

Theo Chino-Tavarez

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds — NY-13 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$718.2KJUN 30, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleComputer programmer

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyDemocratic Socialist

LocationNew York

BackgroundComputer programmer

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Notable personal detailsTheo Bruce Chino-Tavarez is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in New York’s 13th Congressional District (NY-13) in the 2026 cycle. He has described his professional background as a computer programmer. His campaign committee is registered with the Federal Election Commission as TBC for Congress.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports progressive economic policies including Universal Basic Income and Medicare for All, proposes simplifying and expanding tax/fee transparency and filing (e.g., 'NYC Return Free Filing for Income Taxes'), and emphasizes measures to support small businesses and stronger public spending on services. These platform items indicate support for moderate tax/administrative changes and expanded social programs.

Healthcare

Theo Chino-Tavarez lists healthcare as part of his platform but does not provide specific policy proposals on his campaign site or linked pages, leaving his precise stance on issues (e.g., public option, Medicare for All, or market-based reforms) unclear.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate’s platform calls for abolishing ICE and keeping federal immigration enforcement out of the city, reflecting support for limiting enforcement presence and protecting immigrant communities. Immigration-related items on the campaign platform are framed within a broader progressive policy agenda favoring humanitarian and community protections.

Climate & Energy

The candidate’s public platform contains a few environmental items—preventing plastics and garbage from reaching the Atlantic Ocean and reviewing utility franchise agreements—but does not present detailed climate or energy policy such as emissions targets, clean energy investments, or fossil fuel phase-out. Public materials emphasize local sanitation/ocean cleanup and general regulatory review rather than specific federal climate or energy proposals. Available sources do not show support for or opposition to major climate policy instruments (e.g., Green New Deal, carbon pricing) or clear stanc

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Theo Chino-Tavarez is in the news because he was a Democratic primary candidate in New York's 13th Congressional District, where the race drew attention for progressive momentum and election-law scrutiny around an early-voting giveaway. The broader primary wave in New York saw several DSA-backed candidates win, including major upset victories that are reshaping the Democratic field ahead of the general election. The coverage does not provide a clear final result for Chino-Tavarez himself, but it places him in a closely watched and contentious primary environment.

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Latest Polls

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Data for Progress
50%40%30%20%10%0%
39%
35%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
T. Chino-Tavarez
Darializa Avila Chevalier
D. Chevalier
Adriano Espaillat
A. Espaillat
Oscar Romero
O. Romero
Date (Start - End)SpreadChino-TavarezChevalierEspaillatRomero
Data for ProgressJun 3 - 9
Chevalier+37.0
2.0%39.0%35.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising