Prediction Edge
Democrat
Theo Chino-Tavarez

Theo Chino-Tavarez

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds — NY-13 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$718.2KJUN 30, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports progressive economic policies including Universal Basic Income and Medicare for All, proposes simplifying and expanding tax/fee transparency and filing (e.g., 'NYC Return Free Filing for Income Taxes'), and emphasizes measures to support small businesses and stronger public spending on services. These platform items indicate support for moderate tax/administrative changes and expanded social programs.

Healthcare

Theo Chino-Tavarez lists healthcare as part of his platform but does not provide specific policy proposals on his campaign site or linked pages, leaving his precise stance on issues (e.g., public option, Medicare for All, or market-based reforms) unclear.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate’s platform calls for abolishing ICE and keeping federal immigration enforcement out of the city, reflecting support for limiting enforcement presence and protecting immigrant communities. Immigration-related items on the campaign platform are framed within a broader progressive policy agenda favoring humanitarian and community protections.

Climate & Energy

The candidate’s public platform contains a few environmental items—preventing plastics and garbage from reaching the Atlantic Ocean and reviewing utility franchise agreements—but does not present detailed climate or energy policy such as emissions targets, clean energy investments, or fossil fuel phase-out. Public materials emphasize local sanitation/ocean cleanup and general regulatory review rather than specific federal climate or energy proposals. Available sources do not show support for or opposition to major climate policy instruments (e.g., Green New Deal, carbon pricing) or clear stanc

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Theo Chino-Tavarez is in the news as a Democratic candidate in New York’s 13th Congressional District, where he is challenging Rep. Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 primary. He has also drawn election-law scrutiny over a campaign giveaway tied to early voting, with questions raised about whether it crossed the line. More broadly, he is part of a crowded set of New York Democratic primary contests that are now feeding into the party’s push to unify ahead of the general election.

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Latest Polls

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Data for Progress
50%40%30%20%10%0%
39%
35%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
T. Chino-Tavarez
Darializa Avila Chevalier
D. Chevalier
Adriano Espaillat
A. Espaillat
Oscar Romero
O. Romero
Date (Start - End)SpreadChino-TavarezChevalierEspaillatRomero
Data for ProgressJun 3 - 9
Chevalier+37.0
2.0%39.0%35.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

2
NY-13 Democratic nominee?

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising