Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Thom Tillis

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age65 years old (Aug 30, 1960)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationNorth Carolina

BackgroundPolitician

EducationChattanooga State Community College

Notable personal detailsThomas Roland Tillis is a Republican politician serving as a United States senator from North Carolina since 2015. He previously served in the North Carolina House of Representatives and was Speaker of the North Carolina House. Before elected office, he worked in technology and management consulting, including roles at IBM and PricewaterhouseCoopers. He lives in Huntersville, North Carolina, with his wife Susan, and they have two children.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports major tax cuts for individuals and businesses, including voting for the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and favors reducing regulation and cutting government red tape to stimulate economic growth. Advocates lowering the corporate tax rate and simplifying the tax code as means to increase competitiveness and provide tax relief to families and businesses.

Healthcare

Supports preserving private insurance and market-based approaches, opposes a government-run single-payer/“Medicare for All” system, and has backed bipartisan measures to expand telehealth, fund community health centers, and control prescription drug costs. Has opposed federal expansion of Medicaid in North Carolina and emphasized reducing regulatory barriers and keeping health-care decisions out of expanded federal control.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports expanded border enforcement and construction of border barriers, tighter asylum standards and restrictions, criminal penalties for visa overstays, and stronger interior and detention authority to remove or detain undocumented immigrants. Advocates ending “catch and release,” increasing Border Patrol staffing, and other enforcement-first measures while opposing current administration policies he says weaken border security.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports significant restrictions on abortion, including backing federal limits such as a 20-week (pain-capable) prohibition with specified exceptions and permanently banning taxpayer funding of elective abortions. He has cosponsored and voted for pro-life legislation (e.g., Born‑Alive protections, Pain‑Capable Unborn Child Protection Act) and opposed bills that would expand abortion rights.

Climate & Energy

Thom Tillis supports an "all-of-the-above" energy approach emphasizing American energy independence, expanded domestic oil and gas production, and market-driven solutions for climate challenges while opposing the Green New Deal. He has promoted increased LNG export capacity and criticized federal actions he says constrain fossil fuel development, while also noting support for renewable energy and prior state-level renewable portfolio standards.

Public Safety & Guns

Thom Tillis consistently frames his approach as protecting Second Amendment rights while supporting targeted measures to keep guns out of the wrong hands, including improvements to the NICS background-check system and bipartisan 2022 gun-safety legislation. He has opposed expanded ATF regulatory actions and supported concealed-carry reciprocity and litigation challenging ATF rules. His record combines support for gun-owner protections with backing for certain background-check and record-reporting reforms.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Thom Tillis is in the news for criticizing Donald Trump and several Trump administration policies, even as Trump has claimed Tillis quit his reelection bid after losing Trump’s endorsement. Tillis is also pushing Senate Republicans to delay a budget vote, saying the timing could hurt John Cornyn’s runoff campaign in Texas. More broadly, his decision not to seek reelection has opened North Carolina’s Senate seat, where Michael Whatley is now the Republican candidate against Roy Cooper.

tillis.senate.gov+23

Polls

North Carolina Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
10.8%
Thom Tillis
T. Tillis
Date (Start - End)SpreadTillis
Polling Average
10.8%
Victory InsightsNov 26 - 29
10.8%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.7M
$3.5M
$2.4M
$1.2M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$930.8K
$735.2K
$1.0M
$42.9K

Cycle 2024

$2.5M
$2.2M
$971.8K
$40.5K

Cycle 2026

$4.7M
$3.7M
$3.3M
$217.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements