Prediction Edge
Republican
Thomas Chalifoux

Thomas Chalifoux

Overview

Current roleU.S. Army officer (retired; colonel)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationFlorida

BackgroundU.S. Army officer (retired; colonel)

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EducationUniversity of Louisiana at Monroe — BS (1971)

Notable personal detailsThomas Eugene Chalifoux Jr. is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Florida's 9th Congressional District. He is a retired U.S. Army colonel and has worked as a businessman/entrepreneur in Central Florida. He previously served on the Osceola County School Board, including as chair, and has been active in local civic roles in the Kissimmee/Osceola County area.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports significant tax cuts including lowering personal income tax rates, reducing corporate taxes, capping or eliminating capital gains taxes, and permanently repealing the estate (death) tax; advocates simplifying the tax code and pairing tax cuts with federal spending reductions and a balanced-budget requirement.

Healthcare

The candidate supports preserving and strengthening Medicare with measures to lower prescription drug costs and increase competition among Medicare plans, while also advocating entitlement reforms to ensure solvency that include gradual changes and private options. He emphasizes reducing government waste and returning powers to states, signaling preference for fiscal restraint alongside some expansions for seniors. Overall the positions contain both pro-Medicare protections/expansions and proposals to reform entitlements toward fiscal conservatism.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stopping illegal immigration and strengthening border security while emphasizing enforcement-focused measures rather than pathways to broad regularization. Campaign materials prioritize tightened border controls as a top immigration priority.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate identifies as pro‑life, opposes taxpayer funding for abortion and says he does not support abortion rights. He supports exceptions only for saving the life of the mother, rape, or incest, and favors restrictions on chemical abortion such as in‑person consultation and safety reporting.

Climate & Energy

Supports energy independence and an all-of-the-above energy approach that emphasizes expanding domestic oil, natural gas, coal, and nuclear production, reducing regulatory burdens on energy development, and promoting private-sector clean-energy innovation rather than heavy government mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate states support for the Second Amendment “as written” and indicates opposition to redirecting police funds to community programs, signaling a pro-Second Amendment and pro-law-enforcement posture with no expressed support for expanded gun restrictions.

Latest Insights

FL-09 Republican nominee?

1d

Thomas Chalifoux's odds fell below the previous low of 61%, setting a new floor for "FL-09 Republican nominee?"

49%12%

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$3.1M
$2.3M
$1.6M
$781.9K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$2.7M
$603.2K
$2.1M
$86.7K

Cycle 2026

$3.1M
$2.7M
$1.0M
$56.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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