Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

MI-08 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Thomas J. Smith

    Will Republican win the House race for MI-8?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:43 AM UTC

Thomas J. Smith

Thomas J. Smith

Saved odds — MI-08 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

2.8%chance to win

$12.1KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Thomas J. Smith won the Republican primary in Michigan’s 8th Congressional District and is now set to face Democratic Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet in the November general election. His win was notable because he had previously said he was suspending his campaign, yet remained on the ballot and still came out ahead of Trump-backed Amir Hassan. Reports also say Smith’s campaign had raised very little money through June 30, which could make the general election challenge tougher.

thegreenpapers.com+53

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$243.2K
$182.4K
$121.6K
$60.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$243.2K
$219.8K
$23.4K
$1.2K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Positions
  • Polls
  • Endorsements