Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Tim Burchett

Tim Burchett

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Tennessee

Live Odds — TN-02 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

98%chance to win

$475.16NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age62 years old (Aug 25, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationTennessee

BackgroundBusiness owner

EducationUniversity of Tennessee, Knoxville — B.S. in Education (1988)

Notable personal detailsTimothy Floyd Burchett is a Republican U.S. Representative for Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, serving since January 3, 2019. He previously served as Mayor of Knox County (2010–2018) and in the Tennessee General Assembly, including the Tennessee House (1995–1999) and Tennessee Senate (1999–2010). He earned a B.S. in Education from the University of Tennessee, Knoxville (1988). He lives in Knox County with his wife, Kelly, and their daughter, Isabel.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports renewing and extending Trump-era tax cuts and advancing legislation to lower taxes for individuals and families, advocates reducing federal spending and increasing executive tools to cancel discretionary spending, and has proposed measures to cut targeted tax benefits and reduce government waste.

Healthcare

Supports repealing the Affordable Care Act and advancing free-market, interstate-competition solutions for insurance; opposes government price controls on prescription drugs and government-run single-payer programs. Has voted against legislation to cap insulin costs and framed healthcare reforms around reducing federal spending and bureaucracy.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and controls, including completing the border wall, implementing Remain in Mexico, ending catch-and-release, and deporting those who enter illegally; has voted for and sponsored measures that tighten immigration enforcement and restrict certain immigration benefits. Emphasizes preventing noncitizens from voting and cracking down on crimes by people in the country unlawfully.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports pro‑life policies, opposes taxpayer funding of abortion, and has sponsored or voted for legislation restricting abortion and protecting newborns after attempted abortions.

Climate & Energy

Supports policies to increase domestic energy production and reduce regulatory barriers to fossil-fuel development; has voted for House Republican legislation (e.g., the Lower Energy Costs Act) that rolls back or limits programs from the Inflation Reduction Act and emphasizes energy independence and market-driven approaches.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate consistently expresses strong support for Second Amendment rights and rejects new gun regulations, including federal red flag/ERPO initiatives. He has said Congress has no effective role in preventing mass shootings and opposed DOJ efforts related to extreme risk protection orders. His public statements prioritize gun rights over additional firearm restrictions.

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Quantus Insights
8%6%4%2%0%
5.4%
Tim Burchett
T. Burchett
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Quantus InsightsAug 7, 2025
5.4%
Quantus InsightsAug 7, 2025
5.4%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.4M
$1.8M
$1.2M
$607.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.4M
$826.3K
$1.2M
$49.8K

Cycle 2024

$1.2M
$728.2K
$1.3M
$55.7K

Cycle 2026

$2.4M
$967.4K
$2.2M
$115.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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