Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tim Greimel

Tim Greimel

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Michigan

Live Odds — MI-10 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$65.5KAUG 5, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Mayor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderMale

LocationMichigan

Show more

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of Michigan — BA (economics and political science)

Notable personal detailsTim Greimel is a Michigan politician and attorney who served as Mayor of Pontiac from January 2022 to January 2026. He previously served in the Michigan House of Representatives (District 29) from 2012 to 2019 and was House Minority Leader from 2013 to 2017. He attended the University of Michigan, earning a BA in economics and political science, an MPP, and a JD.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief for low- and middle-income families (including restoring/expanding the EITC) and opposes regressive sales-tax increases while calling for corporations to pay a fairer share of taxes. Advocates targeted tax changes and investments to benefit working families rather than broad cuts for corporations or the wealthy.

Healthcare

Supports Medicaid expansion and helped establish Michigan’s Healthy Michigan program to extend affordable coverage to hundreds of thousands of residents. Advocates preserving benefits and avoiding proposals that would reduce access or substantially lower coverage levels.

Show more

Immigration & Border

The candidate vetoed a Pontiac City Council resolution that opposed federal deportations and wrote that it is inappropriate for a local government to obstruct or denounce enforcement of laws, signaling support for existing federal immigration enforcement while rejecting municipal obstruction. Campaign materials emphasize general priorities like economic and family issues but do not lay out a contrasting immigration-reform platform.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding women’s access to reproductive and women’s health care and opposes legislative measures that impose restrictive or intrusive abortion requirements. Has criticized Republican bills that would overregulate abortion care and has backed legislative proposals to improve access to women’s health services.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal and state actions to reduce emissions and increase renewable energy and energy efficiency; has publicly praised the Clean Power Plan and has a pro-environment voting record in state office. Emphasizes clean energy investment and policies that balance affordability and job creation while advancing emissions reductions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports common-sense gun safety reforms and greater regulation of firearms while engaging in legislative discussion about workable firearm regulations for Michiganders. Criticizes the influence of the NRA on lawmakers and has called for substantive debate on firearm policy rather than theatrical measures that block regulation.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 5, 2026

Tim Greimel is in the news because he is one of the candidates in Michigan’s open 10th Congressional District race, which is moving through the primary and toward the Nov. 3 general election. Recent coverage has focused on the crowded field and the district’s competitive but Republican-leaning outlook. Broader election reporting also points to fundraising and other battleground dynamics shaping the race, but no major new development about Greimel himself was reported in these summaries.

timgreimel.com+50

Latest Polls

MI-10 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tim Greimel currently averages 11.5%, ranking third in this race, 4.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 11.5%Position: thirdMargin: -4.5 ptsLatest poll: 16.0% (Jul 7 - 9)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 7 - 9.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
11.5%
36%
16%
Tim Greimel
T. Greimel
Christina Hines
C. Hines
Eric Chung
E. Chung
Date (Start - End)SpreadGreimelHinesChung
Polling Average
Hines+24.5
11.5%36.0%16.0%
Hart Research AssociatesJul 7 - 9
Hines+26.0
16.0%42.0%19.0%
Global Strategy GroupApr 23 - 26
Hines+23.0
7.0%30.0%13.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.3M
$947.7K
$631.8K
$315.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.3M
$328.0K
$935.6K
$49.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements