Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tina Shah

Tina Shah

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

Live Odds — NJ-07 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$25.6KJUN 9, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePhysician

PartyDemocratic

GenderFemale

LocationNew Jersey

BackgroundPhysician

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Notable personal detailsTina Shah is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District (2026 cycle). She is a physician and physician-scientist who has worked on health policy and clinician well-being, including serving as a Senior Advisor to the U.S. Surgeon General. Shah has also been described as having served in the Obama and Biden administrations and has run on health care and reproductive rights priorities.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering costs for working families, opposing Medicaid cuts and tax breaks for billionaires, and prioritizing limiting corporate/industry profits that raise consumer costs. Emphasizes expanding access to affordable healthcare as part of economic policy to reduce burdens on families.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to care, reducing costs, and stopping insurance denials while strengthening healthcare delivery and workforce wellbeing. Emphasizes policies to expand access for veterans and New Jersey residents, reduce administrative burden on clinicians, and protect patients from insurance denials.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has made general comments supporting due process and equal treatment in immigration enforcement and has referenced immigration-related issues affecting her community (e.g., H‑1B debate, hate crimes), but has not articulated detailed policy proposals on border security, asylum, pathways to legalization, or enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports and will fight to protect reproductive rights and the right to abortion, and frames access to abortion as part of ensuring health care access. The campaign emphasizes protecting reproductive rights as a priority for her platform.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Tina Shah is one of the Democrats running in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District primary to challenge Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr. in November. The race is being treated as a major toss-up and one of the most competitive House contests this year. Recent coverage has focused more on the district’s high-stakes primary and Kean’s prolonged medical absence than on Shah specifically, and the Democratic field includes several contenders.

fec.gov+46

Latest Polls

NJ-07 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tina Shah currently averages 16.2%, ranking second in this race, 11.8 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 16.2%Position: secondMargin: -11.8 ptsLatest poll: 16.0% (May 31 - Jun 1)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through May 31 - Jun 1.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
16.2%
28%
12.4%
10.6%
5%
Tina Shah
T. Shah
Rebecca Bennett
R. Bennett
Brian Varela
B. Varela
Michael Roth
M. Roth
Megan O'Rourke
M. O'Rourke
Date (Start - End)SpreadShahBennettVarelaRothO'Rourke
Polling Average
Bennett+11.8
16.2%28.0%12.4%10.6%5.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 31 - Jun 1
Bennett+16.0
16.0%32.0%15.0%12.0%
StimSight ResearchMay 17 - 20
Bennett+17.0
19.0%36.0%20.0%19.0%
Impact ResearchMay 11 - 13
Bennett+21.0
15.0%36.0%13.0%12.0%
GQRMay 3 - 6
Bennett+3.0
23.0%26.0%10.0%7.0%
GQRFeb 22 - 25
Bennett+2.0
8.0%10.0%4.0%3.0%5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.3M
$1.7M
$1.2M
$583.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.3M
$164.2K
$2.2M
$120.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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