South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
16dHigh ImpactDoeden’s nominee odds moved up sharply to 59% while Dusty Johnson fell to 29%, extending the market’s latest repricing heading into the June 2 primary.
59%15%
High Impact16d
Toby Doeden
15%59%
Doeden’s nominee odds moved up sharply to 59% while Dusty Johnson fell to 29%, extending the market’s latest repricing heading into the June 2 primary.
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
$861.7K
JUL 29, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Overview
Current roleBusinessman
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
GenderMale
LocationSouth Dakota
Show moreShow less
BackgroundBusinessman
Notable personal detailsToby Doeden is an Aberdeen, South Dakota businessman and Republican candidate for Governor of South Dakota (2026). He is associated with Aberdeen Chrysler Center, where he became general manager in 2011 after working his way up from sales roles beginning in 1997. His campaign describes him as a political outsider and a business owner who built multiple businesses in South Dakota.
SourcesShowHide
tobydoeden.comaberdeenchrysler.comsdsos.govsdcfr.sdsos.goven.wikipedia.orgkotatv.comsouthdakotasearchlight.comsodakgovs.compolitics1.comkfgo.comelectionline.orgdakotafreepress.comwatertowncurrent.comsfofexposed.orgkelo.combgrdc.comlincolncountysd.govcdn1.creativecirclemedia.comreddit.comsdpb.orgsdnewswatch.orgsiouxfallslive.comyahoo.comdakotafirst.orgdakotanewsnetwork.comwrenews.comrsvp.tobydoeden.comdakotawarcollege.commedifind.comballotready.orgcbsnews.comhelp.x.comx.commobile.x.comcy-gb.facebook.comcdn.ballotpedia.orgfacebook.comwashingtonpost.comseattletimes.comlinkedin.comvotesmart.orgvoterguide.ballotpedia.orgrounds.senate.govdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgwikidata.orgcongress.govhoeven.senate.govdemocrats-judiciary.house.govfec.govnga.orgnass.org
Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Advocates eliminating property taxes statewide, reducing the size of state government and spending, and preserving/codifying South Dakota sales-tax measures while proposing alternative consumption-based revenue sources to replace property tax revenue.
Immigration & Border
Supports aggressive enforcement measures against undocumented immigrants, including accelerating arrests and deportations; emphasizes combating illegal immigration and border security.
Show moreShow less
Climate & Energy
The candidate emphasizes free‑market energy and economic policy, opposes large state subsidies or corporate welfare for energy projects, and has supported political efforts skeptical of major carbon‑capture pipeline projects. Policy statements focus on limiting government incentives and promoting a business climate without special favors rather than endorsing aggressive emissions regulations or expansive clean‑energy mandates.
Public Safety & Guns
The candidate expresses strong support for the Second Amendment and says he will stand up for the right to bear arms. He emphasizes prioritizing public safety by supporting law enforcement and upholding law and order, without proposing new gun-restrictive measures on his issues pages.
Latest Insights
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
10dFresh reporting says Toby Doeden is projected to advance to the Republican runoff, reinforcing the market’s sharp repricing and keeping him the clear favorite in a volatile nominee race.
61%
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
10dToby Doeden’s South Dakota GOP governor-nominee contract pushed to a fresh high after public reporting projected him into the runoff, keeping him the clear favorite in a liquid three-way market.
61%0%
News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 13, 2026
Toby Doeden has advanced to the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff after finishing first in the June 2 primary with about 31% of the vote. Because no candidate reached the 35% threshold, he will face Gov. Larry Rhoden in the runoff, which will decide the GOP nominee. Doeden also criticized the state's runoff law after the result, joking that it should be canceled. The winner will move on to the November general election.
tobydoeden.com+50
Articles
SFSioux Falls Argus Leader2 days ago
Candidate condemns ‘whoever’ approved a runoff law, and it turns out to be a legend from his city
Positive
SFSioux Falls Argus Leader10 days ago
Doeden and Rhoden advance to runoff in Republican governor primary, Johnson falls to third
Positive
NNewsBreak10 days ago
GOP Rep. Andy Ogles deletes homophobic social media post, blames staffer
Positive
ANAberdeen News10 days ago
Toby Doeden forces runoff against Gov. Larry Rhoden
Positive
Polls
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
18.4%
27.4%
24.7%
13.1%
J. Hansen
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements
- Fundraising