Prediction Edge
Democrat
Todd Ivey

Todd Ivey

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-09 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$29.2KMAR 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePhysician (OB/GYN)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationTexas

BackgroundPhysician (OB/GYN)

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EducationLouisiana State University School of Medicine (M.D., 1993)

Notable personal detailsRichard Todd Ivey is a Houston-based obstetrician-gynecologist and Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’s 9th Congressional District (2026). He graduated from Louisiana State University School of Medicine (1993) and completed an OB/GYN residency at the University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston (1997). He has been affiliated with Texas Children’s and Baylor College of Medicine and has run for Congress as “Dr. Todd Ivey.”

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies aimed at reducing costs for working families and criticizes recent tax cuts for the ultra‑rich; emphasizes shifting benefits of the economy toward workers rather than the well‑connected.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and expanding the Affordable Care Act, increasing access and affordability of health care, expanding mental-health and substance-abuse services, and improving rural and preventive care access.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a pathway to citizenship, opposes aggressive ICE raids targeting hardworking people and families, and emphasizes the value of diversity while protecting law‑abiding immigrants’ ability to pursue the American Dream.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Opposes Texas’s strict abortion bans and supports protecting doctors’ ability to provide abortion and emergency pregnancy care, while advocating legal clarity for medical exceptions. Emphasizes concerns that restrictive laws endanger pregnant patients and hamper clinicians’ ability to treat life‑threatening complications.

Climate & Energy

Supports action to combat a changing climate and to protect local air and water quality; calls for standing up against big polluters and addressing climate-related risks (flooding) in his district. Emphasizes policies to lower energy costs and federal oversight of the state power grid and incentives to improve housing/energy affordability.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Todd Ivey is in the news because redistricting is reshaping the congressional race he is tied to. Tennessee Republicans approved a new House map that would break up Memphis-based District 9 and reopen candidate qualifying, though the map still needs the governor’s approval and could face legal challenges. The broader redistricting fight is also affecting House races across several states ahead of the 2026 midterms.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

TX-09 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
24%
5%
5%
Todd Ivey
T. Ivey
Leticia Gutierrez
L. Gutierrez
Terry Virts
T. Virts
Earnest Clayton
E. Clayton
Marty Rocha
M. Rocha
Peter Filler
P. Filler
Date (Start - End)SpreadIveyGutierrezClaytonVirtsRochaFiller
University of Houston Hobby School of Public AffairsFeb 3 - 10
Gutierrez+22.0
2.0%24.0%5.0%5.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$192.6K
$144.5K
$96.3K
$48.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$192.6K
$16.5K
$176.1K
$11.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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