Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tom Arnous

Tom Arnous

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-50 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$1.3KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEntrepreneur

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundEntrepreneur

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EducationCalifornia State University San Marcos — undergraduate studies in psychology and philosophy

Notable personal detailsHatim (Tim) Arnous is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in California’s 50th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He has described himself as an entrepreneur with experience in global energy and commodity markets and as a San Diego-area parent. He was born in Saudi Arabia and was raised largely in San Diego’s 50th District.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports declaring healthcare a human right and expanding federal investment in comprehensive healthcare programs. States a long-term goal to guarantee universal healthcare so every American can access care without financial barriers and calls for reducing the influence of large private corporations over health insurance.

Immigration & Border

Supports major reforms to immigration enforcement, including abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and holding agents and officials accountable for abuses; frames immigration policy around protecting immigrant communities and addressing ICE misconduct. Emphasizes concerns about ICE detentions and deaths in custody and calls for prosecution of agents who violated the law.

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Climate & Energy

Supports strengthening American energy production and supply chains and emphasizes lowering energy costs rather than aggressive regulatory approaches to climate policy. Campaign messaging highlights the candidate’s background in global energy and priorities of energy affordability and domestic production.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports strong public safety institutions and says police officers, firefighters, EMTs, and first responders should be supported with resources, training, and clear accountability. The campaign platform emphasizes strengthening public safety and emergency response systems while calling for accountability in enforcement agencies.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

There is little clear recent news specifically about Tom Arnous in the provided summaries. The items mostly cover broader election and policy stories, including healthcare and Medicaid cuts becoming a major 2026 campaign issue and Supreme Court rulings affecting voting rights and redistricting. One roundup mentions a Georgia election-related legal matter, but it does not appear to involve Arnous directly.

fec.gov+47

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$95
$71
$48
$24
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$95.00
$37.41
$233.66
$12.98

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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