Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

TX-19 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Tom Sell

    Will Republican win the House race for TX-19?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC

Republican
Tom Sell

Tom Sell

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Saved odds — TX-19 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

99%chance to win

$7.3KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleLobbyist

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationTexas

BackgroundLobbyist

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EducationTexas Tech University — B.S., Agribusiness

Notable personal detailsTom Sell is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’ 19th Congressional District (2026 cycle). He is the founder and manager of Combest, Sell & Associates, an agriculture-focused lobbying and consulting firm based in Lubbock, Texas with a Washington, D.C. presence. He previously served as Deputy Chief of Staff for the U.S. House Committee on Agriculture and worked in the George W. Bush administration, including as Director of Intergovernmental Affairs.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Tom Sell emphasizes strengthening rural health infrastructure — supporting rural hospitals, expanding telemedicine (paired with better broadband), and policies to attract doctors to rural communities. He frames healthcare fixes as focused on local access and hospital viability rather than proposing a specific federal insurance expansion or replacement.

Immigration & Border

Tom Sell’s campaign presents an “America-First” platform with a dedicated “Strong Immigration Policies” issue and he has expressed support for President Trump’s immigration and border-security efforts, calling them beneficial for Texas and urging cooperation with immigration officials. His public materials emphasize stronger border enforcement rather than expansions of legal pathways or broad regularization.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate presents a pro-life position on his campaign website, listing "Protect Life" as one of his America‑First policy issue areas. No detailed policy text on specific exceptions or gestational limits was found on the pages accessed.

Climate & Energy

Supports policies prioritizing American energy production and 'energy dominance' with an America-First framing; emphasizes West Texas energy and agricultural interests rather than aggressive emissions regulation or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate’s campaign lists “Protect the Second Amendment” as a named issue and presents an America‑First platform emphasizing constitutional rights and law enforcement support. The campaign materials characterize the candidate as a conservative who defends gun ownership and the Second Amendment.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Tom Sell has won the Republican primary runoff for Texas’s 19th Congressional District, making him the GOP nominee for the West Texas seat. He is now set to face Democrat Kyle Rable in the November general election. The race is drawing attention because the district is a heavily Republican seat and Sell is positioned to succeed retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington.

fec.gov+58

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Harper Polling
80%60%40%20%0%
57.5%
Tom Sell
T. Sell
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Harper PollingApr 8, 2026
–57.5%
Harper PollingFeb 10, 2026
–28.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$1.0M
$503.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$670.8K
$1.3M
$79.0K

Source: FEC

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  • Endorsements