Prediction Edge
Republican
Tom Stalcup

Tom Stalcup

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Massachusetts

Live Odds — MA-04 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

4.1%chance to win

$641.00NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePhysicist

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

GenderMale

LocationMassachusetts

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BackgroundPhysicist

Notable personal detailsThomas Stalcup, PhD is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Massachusetts’s 4th Congressional District in 2026. He describes himself as a physicist and entrepreneur, and as president of an electronics company that designs and manufactures environmental monitoring systems. He has also described prior research work at the National High Magnetic Field Laboratory.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Tom Stalcup calls for eliminating tax loopholes, sharply reducing federal spending to the minimum needed for essential services, and returning savings to families earning $250,000 or less. He also emphasizes pro-growth tax policy, lower taxes, reduced red tape, and restoring competition to lower costs in the economy.

Healthcare

Tom Stalcup’s healthcare message focuses on lowering costs through broad drug price negotiation, expanding competition from generics, and ensuring public investment in research leads to affordable prices. He frames healthcare as a system that should deliver high-quality care at a fair price and emphasizes that families are being burdened by rising premiums, deductibles, and prescription costs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports suspending ICE operations unless officers use body cameras and humane procedures. Supports protecting some undocumented workers from deportation, limiting detention funding, and allowing people without a viable asylum claim from the recent surge to self-deport and later reapply legally.

Climate & Energy

Tom Stalcup says human-induced climate change is real and measurable, and he supports addressing it with evidence-based policy. His climate page emphasizes practical solutions, investment in technologies that reduce environmental impact, and support for innovation without undermining economic stability.

Public Safety & Guns

Tom Stalcup is presented as strongly supportive of gun rights. The available position summary says he opposes new federal gun bans and registries.

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