Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43.6%
11.6%
5.0%
Republican
Tom Weiler
Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota
Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?
$376.5K
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds — Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
0%chance to win
$376.5KAUG 18, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Navy submarine officer (retired)
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
GenderMale
LocationMinnesota
Show moreShow less
BackgroundU.S. Navy submarine officer (retired)
EducationUniversity of Notre Dame
Notable personal detailsTom Weiler is a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota in the 2026 election cycle. He is a U.S. Navy submarine veteran and engineer, and previously ran for U.S. House in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District. His campaign describes him as a husband, father, and Catholic raised in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govcandidates.sos.mn.govtomweiler2026.commn.electionarchives.lib.umn.edulinkedin.cominsideelections.comsd45.orggovinfo.govmngop.comkaxe.orgballotready.orgivoterguide.comlrl.mn.govduluthnewstribune.comwikidata.orgke.linkedin.comgt.linkedin.comca.linkedin.comil.linkedin.comdeutsche-digitale-bibliothek.depr.linkedin.comkr.linkedin.comopencampaign.comstartribune.comminnpost.comcbsnews.comalphanews.orgen.wikipedia.orgwashingtonpost.comaction4liberty.comsenatedfl.mnmnhd66brepublicans.orgsaintpaulrepublicans.useplocalnews.orgdl1.en-us.nina.azinstagram.comfacebook.commprnews.orgrollcall.comkstp.comsctimes.comaudacy.compatch.comnpr.orgkare11.comnewyorker.comstevenscountytimes.comfoxnews.comfox9.comhometownsource.comdocquery.fec.govclerk.house.govcongress.govsenate.govcapito.senate.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Advocates fiscal restraint focused on forcing Congress to budget and reduce spending rather than increasing taxes; emphasizes eliminating waste and fraud and promoting budget accountability. Positions emphasize limiting federal spending and recovering misspent taxpayer funds.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate describes himself as pro-life and supports protecting the “sanctity of life” while allowing abortions in cases of rape, incest, or when the mother’s health/life is at risk. He favors policies aimed at minimizing abortions by supporting mothers and families and indicates abortion law decisions should be left to states in some past statements.
Show moreShow less
Climate & Energy
The candidate supports enabling domestic energy production and reducing regulations to lower costs and ease inflation, and does not present detailed climate policy or emissions targets on his campaign site. Public statements emphasize energy production and regulatory relief rather than aggressive emissions reductions or Green New Deal–style policies.
Public Safety & Guns
The candidate identifies as a strong supporter of the Second Amendment and responsible gun ownership, emphasizes keeping guns out of criminals’ hands, and proposes armed security professionals at every school as part of a Protect Our Kids bill.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 8, 2026
Tom Weiler is in the news because he is running in Minnesota’s Republican Senate primary. Recent coverage around Minnesota politics also points to a tougher environment for Republicans, with the state’s gubernatorial race now seen as safely Democratic and broader GOP concerns about midterm momentum. Other reports focus more generally on Republican campaign issues, including voter ID rules and party infighting, but do not add much specific new information about Weiler himself.
fec.gov+54
Articles
NYNew York Magazine7 months ago
MAGA Wants to Run on Immigration, Even If It Kills Them
Neutral
SSSpokane Spokesman-Review6 months ago
House members vying for Senate face conundrum with Iran votes
Neutral
WWTOP6 months ago
Big money flows into state attorney general races as legal battles shape American politics
Neutral
TDThe Daily Beast7 months ago
Trump Collapse Shifts Dem Midterm Focus Deep Into Red States
Negative
Latest Polls
Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Tom Weiler currently averages 3.9%, ranking 4th in this race, 1.1 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 3.9%Position: 4thMargin: -1.1 ptsLatest poll: 3.0% (Jul 29 - Aug 4)Polls included: 5
Average recalculated from polls through Jul 29 - Aug 4.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$220.5K
$165.4K
$110.3K
$55.1K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$220.5K
$121.5K
$100.7K
$5.3K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements