Prediction Edge
Republican
Tony Sabio

Tony Sabio

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Virginia

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Tony Sabio is trading at 99% to win the VA-08 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleNational security professional

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

LocationVirginia

BackgroundNational security professional

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Notable personal detailsAnthony A. “Tony” Sabio is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Virginia’s 8th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has described himself as a national-security professional and Reagan-style conservative, and his campaign biography states he served in the U.S. military and later worked for the U.S. Secret Service and the CIA. He previously ran for Fairfax County School Board (Providence District) in 2023.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief and targeted tax credits for small businesses, expansion and simplification of business deductions (including Qualified Business Income), immediate expensing, and payroll tax credits tied to hiring and apprenticeships; favors regulatory reform and federal incentives to spur private-sector job creation and local economic growth. Proposes temporary tax relief and credits to protect small businesses during government shutdowns and incentives for housing and workforce retention in the district.

Healthcare

Supports market-based reforms to increase competition and choice (interstate sales, expanded HSAs, direct primary care) while preserving protections for preexisting conditions and providing time-limited, state-administered safety nets via block-grants rather than a federal single-payer system.

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Immigration & Border

Tony Sabio’s campaign platform emphasizes securing the border, enforcing immigration laws, and modernizing legal immigration while also expressing support for immigration reform measures and criticizing certain enforcement practices. Public statements combine enforcement-focused language with references to reform-oriented proposals, producing mixed signals on whether his approach is primarily enforcement-first or reform/humanitarian-focused.

Climate & Energy

Emphasizes lowering energy costs, American energy independence, and market-friendly policies under a conservative framework; prioritizes affordability and jobs in energy policy. Positions are framed as part of a broader "Energy Affordability & American Power" agenda.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Tony Sabio is the Republican nominee in Virginia’s 8th Congressional District and is now campaigning against Democratic incumbent Don Beyer in the general election. Recent coverage has focused on his campaign message, which centers on lower energy costs, job creation, small business support, public safety, and healthcare price transparency. He has also been appearing at local events and engaging voters, including an Arlington County Fair appearance where he was confronted by a fairgoer. Earlier forum coverage showed him discussing housing, voting rights, immigration enforcement, and schools as part of the race.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$21.9K
$16.4K
$11.0K
$5.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$21.9K
$17.9K
$4.0K
$211.26

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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