Prediction Edge
Democrat
Trina Swanson

Trina Swanson

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Trina Swanson is trading at 15% to win the MN-08 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleImmigration attorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationMinnesota

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BackgroundImmigration attorney

Notable personal detailsTrina M. Swanson is a Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) candidate for the U.S. House in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District. She has been described as a former U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services official and is an immigration attorney based in Duluth. She filed to run for Congress in 2026 and authorized the principal campaign committee Trina for Congress.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports protecting tax credits for health insurance, strengthening antitrust enforcement, investing in infrastructure and clean-energy industries, and holding corporations accountable for avoiding taxes while expanding support for working families and livable wages.

Healthcare

Supports universal healthcare and prioritizes making care affordable and accessible for all residents of Minnesota’s 8th District. Plans include protecting health insurance tax credits, lowering prescription drug prices and capping life‑saving medication costs, and stabilizing local hospitals and clinics to keep care close to home.

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Immigration & Border

Supports secure borders paired with expanded legal pathways and improved processing capacity; favors hiring more immigration judges and officers, overseas screening, seasonal visas, and an earned pathway to citizenship for Dreamers. Emphasizes focusing enforcement on violent criminals and upholding due process while opposing violent or cruel immigration enforcement practices.

Climate & Energy

Supports investing in clean energy and building a clean energy grid using domestic critical minerals while also supporting environmentally regulated mining in northern Minnesota; emphasizes protecting clean water and the Boundary Waters and using science-based regulation. Advocates for investment in industries like clean energy, batteries, and technologies that create local jobs while requiring environmental safeguards for mining projects.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

MN-08 House winner?

5d

Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race.

62%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Trina Swanson is in the news because of a Supreme Court decision affecting voting-rights enforcement. The Court left in place a ruling that limits private groups from bringing cases under Section 208 of the Voting Rights Act, leaving enforcement to the Justice Department. The decision could make future voting-rights challenges harder to bring, but it does not decide any specific election dispute.

docquery.fec.gov+44

Endorsements

11
MN-08 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$316.7K
$237.5K
$158.4K
$79.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$316.7K
$90.4K
$226.3K
$11.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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