Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Troy Balderson

Troy Balderson

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Ohio

Live Odds — OH-12 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

97.3%chance to win

$8.0KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age64 years old (Jan 16, 1962)

GenderMale

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LocationOhio

BackgroundPolitician

EducationZanesville High School (1980)

Notable personal detailsWilliam Troy Balderson is a Republican member of the U.S. House representing Ohio’s 12th Congressional District, first elected in a special election in 2018. Before Congress, he served in the Ohio House of Representatives (2009–2011) and the Ohio Senate (2011–2018). He previously worked on his family farm and in a family-owned business, and has also been an automobile dealer.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Balderson emphasizes support for small businesses, lower costs, and cutting red tape to help the economy. He backs extending business tax breaks and says the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act strengthened small businesses and the broader economy, while also supporting measures that rein in federal spending and save taxpayers money.

Healthcare

Troy Balderson has criticized the Affordable Care Act and described himself as a repeal-and-replace advocate. At the same time, he has backed measures to expand telehealth and other access-oriented reforms, including Medicare-related telehealth and remote-monitoring policies.

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Immigration & Border

Balderson supports aggressive border enforcement and describes the southern border situation as a crisis driven by lax immigration policy. He backs resuming border wall construction, adding more border agents and technology, ending catch-and-release, streamlining asylum, and strengthening limits on immigration enforcement loopholes. He has also voted for resolutions denouncing Biden administration immigration policy and for bills targeting illegal immigration and border security.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Troy Balderson describes himself as pro-life and opposes using taxpayer money to pay for abortions, including overseas funding. His recent House voting record shows votes against the Women’s Health Protection Act of 2022 and the Ensuring Women’s Right to Reproductive Freedom Act.

Climate & Energy

Troy Balderson has emphasized American energy security, affordable and reliable power, and a pragmatic approach to climate policy. He has also aligned himself with efforts to roll back Biden-era climate regulations and has supported pro-fossil-fuel energy legislation.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports protecting Second Amendment rights while allowing some common-sense gun safety measures such as background checks. Also has strong pro-gun ratings from gun-rights groups and no clear endorsement of broader gun-control measures in the available evidence.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

Troy Balderson is being mentioned in the context of a broader shift in the 2026 House landscape, as Republicans have lost ground in several key districts. The update suggests some previously safer GOP seats are becoming more competitive, which could affect the midterm battle for control of the House. There are no specific new developments about Balderson himself in the provided summaries.

history.house.gov+47

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.1M
$1.6M
$1.1M
$531.8K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.9M
$403.8K
$1.6M
$64.9K

Cycle 2024

$2.1M
$1.0M
$1.5M
$63.5K

Cycle 2026

$1.7M
$2.0M
$767.4K
$42.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements