Trump Endorsed
Incumbent
Trump EndorsedIncumbent
$3.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Troy Downing is trading at 94% to win the MT-02 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
Age59 years old (Mar 4, 1967)
GenderMale
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LocationMontana
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationNew York University (attended)
Notable personal detailsTroy Bryan Downing is a Republican U.S. Representative for Montana’s 2nd congressional district, serving since January 3, 2025. He previously served as Montana State Auditor (Commissioner of Securities and Insurance). Downing is a U.S. Air Force and California Air National Guard veteran (2001–2009) and has worked as a research scientist/educator and as a business owner.
SourcesShowHide
Political Positions
Economy & Taxes
Troy Downing supports lower taxes, reduced government regulation, and pro-growth economic policies. He has also backed eliminating the estate tax and cutting unnecessary federal bureaucracy to support family farms and small businesses.
Healthcare
He supports market-driven healthcare reforms rather than a government-run system. His stated priorities include Health Savings Accounts, telemedicine, value-based care, transparency in drug and insurance pricing, and protecting Medicare and Medicare Advantage while focusing on fiscal sustainability.
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Immigration & Border
Troy Downing says Congress should strengthen immigration laws and border security, including restructuring asylum rules and stopping some asylum seekers at the border if processing capacity is insufficient. He also supports reinstating Title 42-type rules, building physical barriers where necessary, deploying surveillance technology, and adding more Border Patrol agents.
Climate & Energy
Downing emphasizes energy independence, lower regulation, and an all-of-the-above energy approach. He says Montana should support reliable, affordable energy supply and economic growth, and he does not see a role for federal investment in climate action.
Public Safety & Guns
Downing has framed the right to bear arms as under attack and has listed the Second Amendment as a key campaign issue. In Congress, he has cosponsored the Veterans 2nd Amendment Protection Act to safeguard Second Amendment rights for veterans receiving VA assistance. ([mtpr.org](https://www.mtpr.org/montana-news/2018-02-15/montana-officials-candidates-react-to-florida-shooting?utm_source=openai))
Endorsements
Endorsers of Troy Downing for MT-02 House winner?
Trump
Public endorsement
Trump endorsed Troy Downing for Congress in Montana's eastern district.
U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Advocacy group
U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsed Troy Downing for Montana's Second District.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
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