Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tyler Vandenberg

Tyler Vandenberg

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-06 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$58.3KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Marine Corps veteran

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyLiberal Democrat

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundU.S. Marine Corps veteran

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Notable personal detailsTyler Isaac Vandenberg is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in California’s 6th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He is a U.S. Marine Corps veteran and has been described in election materials as a Jeopardy! champion. His campaign materials describe priorities including accountability investigations, Medicare for All, housing, grid/energy investments, infrastructure, education, and a ban on stock trading by federal officials.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanded federal spending on healthcare, housing, infrastructure, retirement security, and clean energy while opposing cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. The campaign platform emphasizes rebuilding social programs and investing in public infrastructure but does not state specific tax changes or proposals.

Healthcare

Supports Healthcare for All and explicitly endorses either implementing Medicare for All immediately or using federal funds to establish a universal healthcare system in California.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes protecting and building a safer America for immigrant neighbors but provides no detailed immigration policy on the campaign site. Public materials use humanitarian language about immigrants without specific positions on enforcement, asylum, or pathways to legal status.

Climate & Energy

Supports building a green grid and expanding clean energy jobs, defending public lands and increasing funding for wildfire and climate resilience projects; favors electrification of transportation and investment in climate resilience and infrastructure to reduce wildfire, drought, and extreme-weather risks.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate identifies as a firearms owner and emphasizes the value of self‑defense while also saying stronger action is needed to crack down on white‑nationalist militias and gun violence. He expresses skepticism that new federal firearms legislation will be durable under the current Supreme Court and does not set out a clear package of specific gun‑control measures in available public statements.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Tyler Vandenberg is in the news because he is one of the candidates in California’s 48th congressional district primary, a closely watched race under the state’s top-two system. The contest is drawing attention because Democrats are trying to win the seat, but the crowded field means it is still possible for the top two finishers to be from the same party or for Democrats to be shut out of the general election. The latest reporting focuses on whether Vandenberg can advance out of the primary.

docquery.fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

EMC Research
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Tyler Vandenberg
T. Vandenberg
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
EMC ResearchMay 6, 2026
2.0%
Normington, Petts & AssociatesFeb 19, 2026
3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$122.6K
$91.9K
$61.3K
$30.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$122.6K
$0.00
$122.6K
$6.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements