Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

OR-04 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Val Hoyle

    Will Democratic win the House race for OR-04?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:45 AM UTC

DemocratIncumbent
Val Hoyle

Val Hoyle

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Oregon

Saved odds — OR-04 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

97.9%chance to win

$3.0KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Age62 years old (Feb 14, 1964)

GenderFemale

LocationOregon

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BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationBunker Hill Community College (attended)

Notable personal detailsValerie Anne “Val” Hoyle is a Democratic member of the U.S. House representing Oregon’s 4th Congressional District, first sworn in on 2023-01-03. She previously served in the Oregon House of Representatives (2009–2017), including as Majority Leader, and was Oregon’s elected Labor Commissioner leading the Bureau of Labor and Industries (2019–2023). She worked for decades in the bicycle industry and later in nonprofit and public-policy roles. Hoyle attended Bunker Hill Community College and earned a B.A. from Emmanuel College in 1992.

SourcesShow

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Val Hoyle won her party contest in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District primary and will move on to the November general election. Early returns showed her advancing alongside Republican Monique DeSpain in what is expected to be a competitive rematch, though analysts still rate the district as safely or solidly Democratic. Earlier fundraising reports also showed Hoyle outraising DeSpain by a wide margin this cycle.

history.house.gov+43

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.7M
$2.0M
$1.3M
$666.3K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.6M
$40.0K
$2.6M
$107.1K

Cycle 2024

$2.7M
$89.4K
$2.6M
$109.0K

Cycle 2026

$1.2M
$520.8K
$791.5K
$44.0K

Source: FEC

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