Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

TX-16 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Veronica Escobar

    Will Democratic win the House race for TX-16?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:11 AM UTC

Democrat
Veronica Escobar

Veronica Escobar

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Saved odds — TX-16 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

98.9%chance to win

$3.4KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age57 years old (Sep 15, 1969)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationTexas

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUniversity of Texas at El Paso (B.A., 1991)

Notable personal detailsVeronica Escobar is a Democratic U.S. Representative for Texas's 16th Congressional District (El Paso), serving in Congress since January 3, 2019. She previously served on the El Paso County governing body as a county commissioner and later as county judge. Before elected office, she worked as a communications director, nonprofit executive, and taught at the University of Texas at El Paso and El Paso Community College. She earned a B.A. from the University of Texas at El Paso and an M.A. from New York University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports Democratic policies to lower costs for households (including tax relief measures and consumer protections) and has voted consistently with labor and Democratic priorities on economic legislation. Emphasizes actions to reduce gas, food, and healthcare costs and supports bills aimed at strengthening supply chains and protecting consumers from price gouging. Positions align with moderate progressive approaches to taxation and economic relief rather than major tax-cut or anti-regulatory agendas.

Healthcare

Supports universal healthcare and has publicly endorsed expanding government-provided coverage, including co-sponsoring legislation to expand Medicare and the Medicare for All Act. Advocates lowering drug costs and expanding Medicare benefits (dental, vision, hearing) and policies to increase access for underserved communities. Promotes use of federal programs and legislation to expand coverage and reduce out-of-pocket costs for constituents.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform that creates new legal pathways and humane processes, opposes expansion of migrant detention facilities, and emphasizes asylum access and regularization measures as part of a bipartisan solution. Has sponsored and promoted legislation and policy frameworks aimed at combining border security with pathways to legal status. Calls for oversight of detention conditions and criticizes enforcement-only approaches while advocating for humanitarian protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying and restoring federal protections for abortion access and opposes restrictive state bans; has co-sponsored the Women’s Health Protection Act and publicly called for restoring Roe-era protections. Argues that restrictions like Texas’ heartbeat law endanger women’s health and that federal action is needed to guarantee access nationwide.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal climate and clean-energy investments, has sponsored legislation to advance climate adaptation and resilience, and voted for major climate-related laws such as the Inflation Reduction Act and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. Emphasizes bringing federal resources to local communities and addressing climate impacts on her district. Does not present evidence of endorsing Green New Deal–style fossil-fuel phase-outs in the cited materials.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks and additional gun safety measures, has backed federal gun violence prevention legislation including the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, and has expressed support for banning assault-style weapons and other restrictions to reduce gun trafficking and mass-shooting risks.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Veronica Escobar is in the news for pressing the Department of Homeland Security over suspected overdoses at an ICE detention facility in El Paso, raising concerns about detainee safety, medical oversight, mental health care, and contraband control. She is also being mentioned in the broader Texas Senate race, where recent polling shows the contest tied and Democrats are reporting strong fundraising in battleground states. The race has become more competitive after Ken Paxton won the Republican nomination.

escobar.house.gov+52

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.3M
$1.0M
$671.6K
$335.8K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.3M
$246.7K
$1.3M
$55.6K

Cycle 2024

$1.3M
$115.8K
$1.5M
$61.4K

Cycle 2026

$858.8K
$270.5K
$704.2K
$39.1K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements