Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Vicente Gonzalez

Vicente Gonzalez

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-34 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

76%chance to win

$31.5KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age58 years old (Sep 4, 1967)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundAttorney

EducationDel Mar College — A.S., Banking and Finance (1990)

Notable personal detailsVicente Gonzalez Jr. is a U.S. Representative from Texas, serving Texas’s 34th Congressional District, and previously represented Texas’s 15th District. He is an attorney who founded the law firm V. Gonzalez & Associates. He earned an associate degree from Del Mar College, a bachelor’s degree from Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, and a Juris Doctor from Texas Wesleyan University School of Law (now Texas A&M University School of Law).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports updating the tax code to ensure more equitable outcomes and backs targeted tax credits and spending to help constituents (for example, extending Affordable Care Act premium tax credits). Describes himself as a fiscally responsible, centrist Democrat who balances taxpayer and community needs while supporting policies that reduce costs for families and expand access to services that affect household budgets.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and expanding the Affordable Care Act, extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits, and protecting Medicare and Medicaid funding while opposing proposals that would cut coverage or funding for seniors and low-income Texans.

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Immigration & Border

Supports increased border security and funding for border authorities while also advocating for lawful humanitarian processing, expanded legal pathways (Safe Zones Act), and limits on heavy‑handed ICE tactics. Has called for bipartisan legislation to fund and reform border processing and criticized aggressive enforcement actions.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports broad access to abortion and has a pro-choice voting record in Congress, including high scores from reproductive-rights organizations. Has also criticized Democratic messaging on abortion in his majority-Catholic district and at times taken politically cautious votes (e.g., voting “present” on a born-alive related measure).

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-the-above" energy approach that promotes domestic oil and gas production and cross-border energy infrastructure while also supporting development of wind and solar in South Texas and voting for major climate and clean-energy investment legislation. Has advocated for expanded LNG exports and leads the Congressional Oil and Gas Caucus. Overall positions combine support for both fossil fuels and renewable energy without a clear prioritization toward aggressive emissions targets or fossil-fuel phase-out.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks for firearm sales and transfers; has voted in favor of Bipartisan Background Checks legislation. No clear public evidence of support for an assault weapons ban or opposition to police funding was found in the sources reviewed.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

TX-34 House winner?

2d

Vicente Gonzalez’s win contract dropped from 59% to 74% in the last hour while Eric Flores’s fell to 26%, alongside fresh polling showing Gonzalez narrowly ahead in the district. That kind of fast repricing can matter for traders watching whether TX-34 is stabilizing after a volatile move.

74%15%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026

Vicente Gonzalez is in the news because Texas’s 34th Congressional District is shaping up as a competitive 2026 House race. Republicans have already picked Eric Flores as their nominee, and the district is being watched as a targeted seat after redistricting. Recent reporting also suggests shifting Latino voter support could influence the race and other Texas battlegrounds, which may affect Gonzalez’s reelection prospects.

gonzalez.house.gov+39

Latest Polls

TX-34 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Vicente Gonzalez currently averages 43.0%, ranking first in this race, 0.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 43.0%Position: firstMargin: +0.0 ptsLatest poll: 45.0% (Jul 27 - 30)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 27 - 30.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43%
43%
Vicente Gonzalez
V. Gonzalez
Eric Flores
E. Flores
Date (Start - End)SpreadGonzalezFlores
Polling Average
Gonzalez+0.0
43.0%43.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterJul 27 - 30
Gonzalez+3.0
45.0%42.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersJun 14 - 16
Flores+3.0
41.0%44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$3.2M
$2.4M
$1.6M
$799.3K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$3.2M
$304.0K
$4.3M
$177.6K

Cycle 2024

$3.1M
$282.1K
$3.1M
$130.5K

Cycle 2026

$2.9M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$86.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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