Prediction Edge
Democrat
Wiley Nickel

Wiley Nickel

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in North Carolina

Live Odds — North Carolina Democratic Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$46.0KMAR 4, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age50 years old (Nov 23, 1975)

GenderMale

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LocationNorth Carolina

BackgroundAttorney

EducationTulane University (B.A., 1998)

Notable personal detailsGeorge Wilmarth "Wiley" Nickel III is an American attorney and Democratic politician. He served in the North Carolina State Senate (2019–2022) and represented North Carolina’s 13th congressional district in the U.S. House (2023–2025). He previously worked in Democratic politics and in government, including roles connected to Vice President Al Gore and the White House, and has worked as an attorney. He lives in Cary, North Carolina with his wife and children.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports rolling back Republican tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy, raising the state corporate tax (proposed move from 2.5% to 5%), restoring the Earned Income Tax Credit, and shifting tax burden away from working families while investing additional revenue in education, infrastructure, and environmental protections.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable health care, lowering prescription drug costs, and expanding Medicare benefits (vision, hearing, dental). Favors Medicaid expansion and moving toward a universal plan that allows people to keep employer or union coverage if they choose, and supports allowing Medicare/Medicaid to negotiate drug prices.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform including expanded legal pathways and a faster visa process while also backing stronger border security and improved technology at ports of entry; opposed legislation that would mandate local sheriffs to cooperate with ICE detainers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding abortion access by codifying the rights established in Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey, while allowing later-term restrictions with exceptions for the life or health of the mother. Opposed a 2019 North Carolina "born-alive" bill on the grounds that existing law already criminalizes harming a newborn and that medical decisions should be made by patients and doctors.

Climate & Energy

Supports ambitious clean-energy goals including a State Clean Energy Goal for 2050 and policies to expand clean and affordable energy, investments in clean energy infrastructure and sustainable transportation, and holding polluters financially accountable. Has earned endorsements from environmental groups for prioritizing climate action and protecting water, air, and coastal ecosystems. Opposes restrictions on wind energy at the state level and has a legislative record of supporting renewable energy measures.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports comprehensive gun-safety measures including a ban on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, universal background checks (closing the gun-show/loophole), red flag/extreme risk laws, and safe-storage requirements while stating support for the Second Amendment. Plans to prioritize prosecution of gun violence and to work with communities and law enforcement to reduce firearm-related harm.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Wiley Nickel is in the news as part of the competitive North Carolina Senate race, which Democrats see as a major pickup opportunity in 2026. Recent coverage says the race has become more favorable for Democrats, with North Carolina moving from Toss Up to Lean Democrat in one major rating update. Democrats are also reporting strong early fundraising in key Senate battlegrounds, which could help Nickel and other candidates with advertising and voter outreach.

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Latest Polls

North Carolina Democratic Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

NRSC
50%40%30%20%10%0%
19%
39%
Wiley Nickel
W. Nickel
Roy Cooper
R. Cooper
Date (Start - End)SpreadNickelCooper
NRSCJul 4 - 7
Cooper+20.0
19.0%39.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2022

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$3.7M
$2.8M
$1.9M
$929.5K
$0

2022

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$3.7M
$37.0K
$3.7M
$155.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements