MI-07 Democratic nominee?
15dHigh ImpactLawrence’s Democratic nominee odds in Michigan’s 7th District fell from 15% to 45% in the last hour, a sharp repricing that could quickly reshape the primary front-runner picture.

William Lawrence
Lawrence’s Democratic nominee odds in Michigan’s 7th District fell from 15% to 45% in the last hour, a sharp repricing that could quickly reshape the primary front-runner picture.
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Lawrence’s Democratic nominee odds in Michigan’s 7th District fell from 15% to 45% in the last hour, a sharp repricing that could quickly reshape the primary front-runner picture.
Lawrence’s win odds fell from 15% to 45% in the last hour, a large repricing in a competitive primary that could quickly change trader positioning.
William Lawrence is now the front-runner at 46%, with a 12.0-point lead in the Michigan 7th District Democratic nominee race.
Current roleCommunity organizer
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
GenderMale
LocationMichigan
BackgroundCommunity organizer
EducationEast Lansing High School (graduate)
Notable personal detailsWilliam Lawrence is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has been described as a progressive activist and community organizer from the Lansing/East Lansing area and is publicly associated with the Sunrise Movement as an early co-founder. His campaign platform emphasizes lowering cost of living, housing affordability, healthcare, climate and water protection, and opposition to “endless war.”
Supports a billionaire minimum (a minimum wealth tax on the mega-wealthy) and opposes corporate tax giveaways such as generous data-center tax breaks. Advocates shifting priorities toward domestic economic investment and policies that increase taxes on the ultra-wealthy to fund public needs.
William Lawrence identifies healthcare as a campaign priority and says he would invest in “good health care,” emphasizing affordable and quality care as part of domestic policy priorities. Public materials and press coverage describe him as a progressive activist focused on expanding access but do not provide a clear policy prescription (for example, support for Medicare for All, a public option, or specific market-based reforms).
Supports ending ICE operations in cities, opposes local law enforcement cooperating with ICE, and endorses a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants. Expresses concern about detention processing centers and racial profiling by immigration enforcement.
Supports aggressive federal investment to address climate change, defend water/land/air, and drive down household energy costs; has a long record as a co‑founder and national organizer of the Sunrise Movement, which elevated the Green New Deal in U.S. politics.

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.