$38.2K
MAY 20, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Jordan’s market price is still at 92%, and fresh reporting continues to show high-profile Democratic backing plus active coverage around the Georgia Supreme Court race. That matters because the seat now looks increasingly consolidated around Jordan, leaving limited room for a late Warren rebound unless new seat-specific news emerges.
Jordan’s market price moved up to 92% from 83% in the last hour, extending a sharp run higher into the May 19 Georgia Supreme Court race. With fresh public reporting on endorsements from Jon Ossoff and Kamala Harris, traders may view the seat as increasingly consolidated around Jordan.
Sarah Hawkins Warren’s win probability briefly fell to 11% before rebounding to 15%, even as fresh Georgia Supreme Court reporting keeps the race active. That kind of fast repricing matters to traders because it suggests the market is still testing how much recent seat-specific news should be discounted.
Recent coverage is focused on redistricting and voting-rights fights, not the Georgia Supreme Court contest itself. The RNC also says it is expanding an election integrity push in Georgia and other states. Overall, the news is more about the broader election environment than this specific race. These updates do not directly change the Georgia Supreme Court race, so market impact looks limited. The broader election and voting-rights fight could add some uncertainty around turnout and election administration.
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Democrats are still favored to win a House majority, but their chances have slipped after taking several redistricting blows.
Republican governors and lawmakers in the South may not be brandishing torches, but their actions are no less disruptive.
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Georgia Chamber of Commerce
Georgia Chamber of Commerce endorsed Sarah Hawkins Warren for the Georgia Supreme Court.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
