$42.6K
MAY 20, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Rankin’s win price surged from 71% to 87% in the last hour as new coverage kept the Georgia Supreme Court race in the news, with the JQC ethics fight and Obama endorsement both reinforcing her momentum. Traders may need to reprice how little room remains for an upset in Charlie Bethel’s seat.
Rankin’s win price jumped from 71% to 87% in the last hour as fresh reporting kept the Georgia Supreme Court race in the news and reiterated the JQC ethics controversy. That kind of late, high-odds move can force traders to reprice how much room remains for an upset in Charlie Bethel’s seat.
Fresh reporting says Georgia’s judicial watchdog found Miracle Rankin violated campaign conduct rules, adding a late-stage legal wrinkle to a race where she is already heavily favored. That matters because traders now have to weigh whether the ethics dispute can still dent an already 94% win price.
Georgia’s primaries are underway, and two Georgia Supreme Court seats are on the ballot. Reports say early Democratic turnout has been strong, while the state’s governor and Senate races are also drawing heavy attention. The main takeaway for this market is that the broader election environment is active, but no seat-specific result is reported yet. The news is mostly about the broader Georgia primary environment, not this seat specifically. It may slightly raise attention around turnout, but it does not clearly shift the market yet.
Voting will conclude in the swing state of Georgia in competitive primaries for governor and a U.S. Senate seat that could decide control of the closely divided chamber.
Voting will conclude in the swing state of Georgia in competitive primaries for governor and a U.S. Senate seat that could decide control of the closely
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
Tuesday's primary in Georgia features contentious Republican contests for governor and U.S. Senate while Democrats hope an enthusiasm advantage is enough to flip two state supreme court seats.
President Donald Trump isn’t on the ballot this year, but with roughly six months before Election Day, he’ll still likely be the biggest factor in determining the fortunes of the Republican Party
First on Democrats’ to-do list must be banning gerrymandering, restoring voting rights protections and reforming the Supreme Court.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
Republicans’ post-Callais gerrymandering blitz appears to be winding down. The midterms damage to Democrats could have been worse. But Trump may not be through with his redistricting push.
Reproductive Freedom for All
Reproductive Freedom for All endorsed Miracle Rankin's campaign.
Georgia Conservation Voters
Georgia Conservation Voters endorsed Miracle Rankin's campaign.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
