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JUN 24, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Roca is now the Republican primary favorite at 39%, with Robin Ficker slipping to 26%. That keeps the market in active rotation near the front of the race and is still tradable given the tight spread and recent repricing.
Roca is now the Republican primary favorite at 39%, with Robin Ficker slipping to 26%. That keeps the market in active rotation near the front of the race and is still tradable given the tight spread and recent repricing.
Roca is now the market favorite at 39%, ahead of Robin Ficker at 26%. That leader change is the clearest tradable signal in this race right now, especially with the primary less than a month away.
Mariela Roca is now the front-runner for the MD-06 Republican nominee spot at 39%, with a 4.0-point lead.
A new voter guide previews the Maryland 6th District race and confirms the Republican primary date as June 23, 2026. It focuses on issue positions rather than any change in the candidate field. No clear nomination shake-up is reported. The main market-relevant update is the confirmed primary timing, which keeps the race on schedule. The rest of the news is informational and does not clearly shift the nomination odds.
Who is running for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District in the 2026 election and where do candidates stand on the issues? Read their answers to our questions.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
Some members say redistricting is taking the U.S. backwards.
R. FickerRobin Ficker
C. BurnettChris Burnett
M. RocaMariela RocaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
