$19.7K
MAY 20, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Fresh reporting on Georgia’s primary-day finish confirms GA-01 remains a crowded, unsettled Democratic nominee race, with Amanda Hollowell now leading the market and Michael McCord and Patrick Wilver already repriced lower. That matters because the latest coverage reinforces the post-repricing order rather than a stale headline, which can affect whether traders fade or follow the move.
Amanda Hollowell's odds in "GA-01 Democratic nominee?" are above the previous high of 41%.
Amanda Hollowell's odds reached 50%, topping the previous high of 41% over the last 50 days.
Georgia’s U.S. House primary is approaching on May 19, with a runoff on June 16 if needed. Recent coverage mainly lists candidates across the state’s congressional districts, including the 1st. There is little district-specific news here that would clearly move the nomination race. The main market driver is the upcoming primary date, but the provided news does not show a clear shift in the 1st District contest. Odds likely remain driven by existing candidate positioning, with limited new information here.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
Rep. Mike Collins (R-GA) is leading his opponents ahead of the Republican primary for a Georgia. U.S. Senate seat, new polling shows.
Protesters gathered in Selma, Alabama, among other locations, to push back as Republican-led southern states redraw congressional boundaries.
Two special election victories in Florida provided more evidence that the Democratic success in elections since Donald Trump’s return to the White House rests not just on a motivated base but also on winning over Republicans and independents.
Georgia voters will decide 13 U.S. House Representatives with the 2026 primary election next week. Who are the candidates? When do polls open?
POLITICO’s analysis shows a clear trend in red and blue districts alike.
Turning Point is hosting President Donald Trump at a Phoenix church to help boost Arizona's Republicans in the 2026 midterms in a "Red Wall" effort.
Rep.-elect Clay Fuller of Georgia is expected to be sworn in Tuesday by House Speaker Mike Johnson, providing relief as Republicans cling to a razor-thin House majority.
President Donald Trump announced his support for "MAGA warrior" Jackson Lahmeyer, who is running to represent Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District.
M. McCordMichael McCordA. HollowellAmanda Hollowell
P. WilverPatrick Wilver
J. GriggsJoyce Griggs
R. ZurcherRandy ZurcherSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
