$46.1K
MAY 20, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Adkerson’s price rebounded from 32% to 39% in the last hour ahead of Georgia’s May 19 primary, keeping him at the front of a tightly packed open-seat Republican contest. The move is tradable because recent coverage still frames the race around a small group of contenders and late consolidation could decide the nominee.
New reporting on Tricia Pridemore’s “dozed off” moment at a PSC hearing gives the GA-11 primary a specific late-cycle storyline traders can watch, with the market already sensitive to rapid lead changes in this open-seat race.
Adkerson’s market price surged from 32% to 39% in the past hour, putting him back at the top of a crowded open-seat primary just before Georgia votes. Recent AJC coverage shows the race still centers on Trump loyalty and establishment backing, so a late repricing like this is tradable for anyone tracking consolidation risk.
A new poll shows Mike Collins ahead in Georgia’s Republican Senate primary, though many voters are still undecided. The race could still head to a runoff if no one wins a majority. Broader redistricting coverage suggests primaries may matter more in safer House seats. The Collins poll may reinforce his standing in Georgia GOP politics, but the large undecided share keeps uncertainty high. The redistricting item is broad and does not clearly shift this district’s nomination race.
Rep. Mike Collins (R-GA) is leading his opponents ahead of the Republican primary for a Georgia. U.S. Senate seat, new polling shows.
Sen. Jon Ossoff faced criticism over his ties to the SPLC after the group's indictment on charges of allegedly funneling millions to extremist organizations like the KKK.
Four consequential April elections in Georgia, Wisconsin, New Jersey, and Virginia could shape House majority control ahead of November's midterm elections.
As states have redrawn their maps, the number of districts likely to flip has further dwindled.
This week, Julie and Mike spar over war credibility, chaos at the Pentagon, redistricting fights, bad behavior on Capitol Hill and where New Jersey politics fit into a rapidly destabilizing national picture.
A growing faction of concerned citizens across America's suburbs are positioned on the front lines of the anti-Trump resistance. They're voters who are often wealthier and more educated than average Americans — and they historically tended to prefer Republicans.
J. CowanJohn Cowan
T. PridemoreTricia PridemoreR. AdkersonRob Adkerson
W. BrownWilliam Brown
C. MoraChris MoraSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
