Joe Mackey
7%24H83%Joe Mackey's odds are now 83%, past the previous high of 76%.
Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$4.5K
MAY 12, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Claim $20 trading on Kalshi.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Joe Mackey's odds are now 83%, past the previous high of 76%.
Dan Cox's odds are now 9%, past the previous low of 24%.
Dan Cox's odds are now 12%, past the previous low of 24%.
The only provided report concerns redistricting and a 2026 House map in Texas, not Indiana’s 4th District. There are no new, relevant updates here on candidates, endorsements, ballot access, or primary timing for the IN-04 Democratic nomination. No direct, district-specific news is provided for the IN-04 Democratic nomination, so this update should not materially change odds.
J. MackeyJoe Mackey
P. McPhersonPaul McPhersonD. CoxDan CoxSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
