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Which Party wins the 2026 Virginia District 7 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

VA-07 House winner?

$8.5K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

94.2%

R. Party

4.2%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$8.5K

24h volume

$15

D. Party94%

R. Party4%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 4

Virginia 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Virginia 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

5%24H97%

Democratic Party's odds are now 97%, above the previous high of 91%. A recent news item said Virginia's 7th Congressional District remains likely Democratic after a redistricting ruling.

10d

Virginia court voids redistricting plan in VA-07

24H

The Virginia Supreme Court struck down the voter-approved congressional map, undoing the redistricting boost Democrats expected in VA-07 and re-opening the seat’s baseline odds. That kind of map uncertainty is material for traders because it changes the expected district shape before the November general.

11d

Democratic Party

11%24H69%

VA-07’s GOP odds have nearly doubled from 80% to 69% in the last 24 hours, while Democrats remain favored. Recent reporting on Virginia’s redistricting fight and court review keeps the seat’s boundary risk live, which matters for traders watching whether the market’s repricing persists.

11d

News

AINews Summary

Virginia's 7th District was moved from solid to likely Democratic after the state Supreme Court blocked a new Democrat-friendly map. Olivia Troye also entered the Democratic primary, adding another candidate to the race. The seat still looks Democratic, but the redistricting ruling makes the outcome a bit less certain. The latest rating change slightly weakens Democratic certainty but still leaves Democrats favored. Troye's entry adds primary noise, not a clear general-election shift.

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Virginia District 7 US House Election?

VA-07 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

Virginia court voids redistricting plan in VA-07

Democratic Party

News

So is Mikie Sherrill running for president? | Mikie’s World

Editorial Roundup: United States

11 House seats move to GOP's favor after major redistricting wins for Trump

How Florida designed a US House map aiming to give Republicans four more seats

May is jam-packed with midterm elections. Here's what to look for

Mitch Landrieu for president? The former New Orleans mayor wants to test the 2028 waters

Pence aide launches Democratic congressional campaign in Virginia

Ex-Pence Aide Olivia Troye Enters Va. House Race

Trump Aide Turned ‘MAGA’s Top Enemy’ to Run as Democrat

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Democratic Party

Virginia court voids redistricting plan in VA-07

Democratic Party

News

So is Mikie Sherrill running for president? | Mikie’s World

Editorial Roundup: United States

11 House seats move to GOP's favor after major redistricting wins for Trump

How Florida designed a US House map aiming to give Republicans four more seats

May is jam-packed with midterm elections. Here's what to look for

Mitch Landrieu for president? The former New Orleans mayor wants to test the 2028 waters

Pence aide launches Democratic congressional campaign in Virginia

Ex-Pence Aide Olivia Troye Enters Va. House Race

Trump Aide Turned ‘MAGA’s Top Enemy’ to Run as Democrat

Related races

VA-06 House winner?

VA-05 House winner?

VA-01 House winner?

VA-02 House winner?